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Category: Economics & FinanceThe Bear’s Lair: The African problemProfessor George Ayittey of American University presented his new book “Africa Unchained” at Washington’s Cato Institute last week, which demonstrates that Africa’s problems primarily result from that continent’s appalling political leadership. This view hasn’t been widely enough vented, and may provide the germ of a solution. I would however add a rider: the West is at least equally responsible for the mess that is Africa, and the West’s help will be needed to reform it. Posted by karlmagnus on Monday, May 16, 2005 at 11:24 AM in Economics & Finance, Globalisation, World Affairs
The Bear’s Lair: The lights are going out“The lights are going out all over Europe. We shall not see them lit again in our lifetime” famously intoned British Foreign Secretary Sir Edward Grey in the gathering dusk of August 4 1914 (there is now a fair consensus that Grey’s alliance with France and encirclement of Germany bore much of the responsibility for dousing them.) This year another continent appears to be disappearing into the gloom, at least economically: Latin America. Posted by karlmagnus on Monday, May 2, 2005 at 09:01 AM in Economics & Finance, World Affairs
The Bear’s Lair: Lashed by dragon tailsIn ancient Chinese mythology, dragons live in the center of the earth, and when they awaken and shake their tails, earthquakes result. The Chinese economic dragon has very clearly awakened; dealing with the lashings of its tail will be no mean feat. Posted by karlmagnus on Monday, April 25, 2005 at 10:51 AM in Business & Industry, Economics & Finance, Globalisation, History, U.S. Politics, World Affairs
The Bear’s Lair: The bell tolls for thee!They don’t ring a bell at the top of a bull market, goes the popular aphorism. Well, last week the U.S. stock market broke decisively through its 2005 lows and my advice to those with long positions is: seek not for whom the bell tolls, it tolls for thee! Posted by karlmagnus on Monday, April 18, 2005 at 08:12 AM in Economics & Finance, U.S. Politics
Landsburgism: The Nadir of Economic ManIs Buying American Racist? GIBSON: No, I don’t think it’s ugly at all. Of course I care more about people in Detroit(USA) than I do people in Juarez(Mexico). LANDSBURG: ... who are white more than total strangers who are black? Do you care more about people who are white than about people who are black? ... Replace the word “American” with “white” throughout that and you will not be able to tell any difference between that rhetoric and the rhetoric that we have from David Duke. HereFor The Most Banal Drivel Imaginable). This is what happens when you worship money instead of God, and care for it more than the ‘patria,’ and its people. Posted by leslie on Thursday, April 14, 2005 at 01:18 PM in Economics & Finance
The Bear’s Lair: Do we want the Tories?As Britain heads into a General Election May 5, the question naturally arises for supporters of the “Bear’s Lair” free market, sound economy approach: do we want the Tories (Britain’s “Conservative Party”) to win this time? It’s a surprisingly close call. Posted by karlmagnus on Monday, April 11, 2005 at 08:32 AM in British Politics, Conservatism, Economics & Finance, European Union
A New Oil Crisis?Peak Oil by Colin Campbell, a video presentation ‘permanent oil shock’ Today Americans seem unconcerned about inflation and currency debasement, though if the oil crisis some are predicting is realized, one can only imagine the reaction of the public. If such a crisis occurs it will be difficult for the political class to blame Saddam Hussein, perhaps they can vilify another group? This subject of Peak Oil and its prophet, Colin Campbell, is a new subject for me. Any feedback would be most welcome. Posted by leslie on Thursday, April 7, 2005 at 09:44 PM in Economics & Finance
The Bear’s Lair: Education’s Gold StandardAs education policies in Britain, the United States and elsewhere focus attention and resources increasingly on “graduating” the lower half of the intellectual Bell Curve the private sector has produced a response that benefits its top quartile. The International Baccalaureate is increasingly becoming an international “Gold Standard” of education for the cognitive elite. Posted by karlmagnus on Monday, April 4, 2005 at 09:41 AM in Economics & Finance, Education
The Bear’s Lair: An agenda for Wolfowitz(published by United Press International, March 21, 2005) If Paul Wolfowitz survives the inevitable sniping from Europeans to emerge as President of the World Bank, he will at least represent a different approach from outgoing president James Wolfensohn. It’s about time! Posted by karlmagnus on Monday, March 21, 2005 at 05:38 PM in Economics & Finance, Globalisation, U.S. Politics, World Affairs
Inflation Disinformation“To make the disinformation plan work , it is critical that even if inflation is not contained, the knowledge and perception that inflation is kicking up, is contained”. Prices are rising - except for goods from China, why this is so is easily explained.
Posted by leslie on Friday, March 18, 2005 at 02:11 PM in Economics & Finance
The Conservative TraditionJohn Ray on this site a few days ago postulated the interesting theory that Benjamin Disraeli christened Conservatism in order to confuse the opposition, by claiming it to be what it wasn’t. Apart from the questionable claim that the socially legislating Disraeli was ever a Conservative at all, this theory suffers from one problem: when Conservatism was christened, in January 1830, Disraeli was an unknown and heavily indebted 25 year old peddler of penny stocks, who if asked his politics would have claimed “Radical,” while trying to sell you shares in a South American gold mine. Posted by karlmagnus on Thursday, March 17, 2005 at 02:00 PM in Books, British Politics, Conservatism, Economics & Finance, U.S. Politics
The Bear’s Lair: Instruments of SatanFor anyone who DOESN’T think the stock and bond markets are currently hopelessly distorted, I recommend taking a long cold look at the hedge fund industry. It is a sobering spectacle. Posted by karlmagnus on Monday, February 28, 2005 at 12:26 PM in Economics & Finance, U.S. Politics
Whole Language comes to ThailandThe most disturbing trend I’ve noticed during my visits to Thailand - until now - has been the rise of a ‘youth culture’ with its attendant economy and anomie, directly challenging the traditional role of family authority. Now an acquaintance in Yala told me her nephews are being taught the so called Whole Language Method, a.k.a. “sight reading,” “total word configuration” or “word recognition.” This reading method has harmed countless American children. After the 1999 economic crisis the youth culture, rather than being retarded, accelerated. The crisis was caused George Soros’ currency gambols; after Soros raped the Thai Baht the IMF arrived to repair Thai finances. (The devil has two horns). Next I fear two parent working families, day care for children, accompanied by a plummeting child birth rate… sound familiar? Posted by leslie on Monday, February 21, 2005 at 12:02 PM in Economics & Finance
The Bear’s Lair: The costs of Wilsonism(to be published by United Press International, January 24, 2005) Posted by karlmagnus on Sunday, January 23, 2005 at 04:18 PM in Economics & Finance, Globalisation, U.S. Politics
An economics roundup:Ignorant tribal thinking: “Mention any topic touching on international trade and you are sure to provoke multiple discussions, ranging from child labor to parity in workplace safety, and including catchy terms like “dumping,” “outsourcing,” and “brain drain.” It seems as if many of our best and brightest scholars are devoting their precious talents to enumerating all of the horrible ills that will beset humanity if we do not act immediately to combat each and every development in the global economy. Yet what do these various proposals to regulate trade all have in common? They are all attempts to prevent people from cooperating with each other. The critics of recent developments in international trade relations, though they have couched their arguments in sophisticated economic rhetoric, are ultimately relying on the tribe mentality: It’s us versus them, and anything that they are for must be bad for us. Fortunately for those who cherish harmony and peace, the tribe mentality is factually incorrect. Trade is a positive-sum game” Posted by jonjayray on Tuesday, December 21, 2004 at 06:53 PM in Economics & Finance
The Bear’s Lair: Blair’s race against time(published by United Press International, 6 December, 2004) British prime minister Tony Blair is said to be aiming Britain’s General Election, which must be held before June 2006, for May 2005, about the earliest he can reasonably hold it without attracting a storm of criticism. For the sake of his re-election, he’d better not delay it – because the British economy could be looking pretty sick by the end of the year. Posted by karlmagnus on Monday, December 6, 2004 at 12:21 PM in British Politics, Economics & Finance
A disgraced dollar, an enfeebled euro - who benefits?The renminbi is China’s paper currency; the word translates as the people’s currency and features one of history’s greatest criminals. Hearing the word “renminbi” first a few years ago I’ve rarely heard it uttered since. Americans, and Europeans, too, ought to know much more about China and its currency. Posted by leslie on Monday, November 22, 2004 at 02:25 PM in Economics & Finance
The Bear’s Lair: Creating a saving cultureThe Bear’s Lair: Creating a saving culture The U.S. savings rate was a dismal 0.2 percent of Gross Domestic Product in the third quarter of 2004, and nobody but economists seemed to care. Once foreign central banks stop financing the United States’ twin trade and budget deficits, this will have to change, or crisis will ensue. Changing the ingrained U.S. spending habit won’t be easy, and will certainly be unpopular. Posted by karlmagnus on Monday, November 22, 2004 at 12:05 PM in Economics & Finance, U.S. Politics
What’s Happening to the Dollar?Few blogs I’ve read mention the dramatic events surrounding the US Dollar’s decline, which impacts our lives greatly. European governments are pleading with the US to stop the fall. Also they’ve warned the US about its debt to which Bush responded: “Freedom is priceless. We will pay whatever price is required”. http://www.guardian.co.uk/usa/story/0,12271,1352886,00.html Former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury Paul Craig Roberts warns the Chinese exchange rate policy threatens the US’ position as the holder of world reserve currency. http://www.vdare.com/roberts/041116_declining.htm I feel the US is a financial house of cards, yet I know little about economics. Though I started buying gold bullion one year ago, when it was at $340 per ounce, now it sits at $442. http://www.gold-eagle.com/intra-day/XAU3m.html Posted by leslie on Thursday, November 18, 2004 at 01:40 PM in Economics & Finance
The Bear’s lair: The sound economy of 1929The Bear’s Lair: The sound economy of 1929 by Martin Hutchinson (to be published October 18 by United Press International) Posted by karlmagnus on Saturday, October 16, 2004 at 04:06 PM in Economics & Finance, History, U.S. Politics
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