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Democracy in IraqI am joining the Iraq bandwagon a little late – but better late than never. And as Guessedworker will attest to this, I have a full litany of excuses for having been AWOL since Christmas. It has been a very hectic time – first a good holiday, then too much work and also moving houses, which is always a nightmare. Anyway, I have tried to the extent possible to keep up with developments and also with the musings at our little corner here. I have written a few times about Iraq in these pages and endeavour to do so again. And I risk starting a fratricidal conflict here – as I am going to take the opposite view from our colleague John Ray. I am concerned that hard headed realism is often replaced by wishful thinking and visions of Utopia on the modern right in a way that makes one see eerie similarities with the communists of the early twentieth century. I take this opportunity to state at the outset that I am not an enemy of Democracy – if that means government by strict adherence to the rule of law, a government of laws and not men. But democracy can also mean naked aggressive mob rule which is why the democratic experiment fails so often. Without the encompassing ethos that is the inheritance of us Anglo-Saxon peoples, Democracy is often worse than mild despotisms (Would you prefer to live in a Democratic Iran of the 1980s or the dictatorship of Singapore during the same era? I think the answer is rather obvious and straightforward). In Iraq, the US has spent half a trillion dollars and has a casualty figure that now runs into five figures and swelling fast. The net result of this effort, this loss of fortune and expenditure of sweat and blood, we are told is golden – DEMOCRACY! As I have always considered myself a hard-headed realist, I react not so much with scepticism at such rhetoric but with laughter. I do not need at this point to repeat the history of that chaotic country or the history of the middle east and the Muslim world here. Suffice it to say, we have several layers of despotism and servitude – conditions that make the functioning of a free and open society impossible. So why are we deluding ourselves? The Neocons have their agenda. Fair enough. Everyone is entitled to their agendas. But I fail to see why the rest of the world ought to buy into this smokescreen. It comes as no surprise that the Iraqi elections have ended up electing an Ayatollah. He is a “moderate” Ayatollah we are told (incidentally, have you ever met any moderate Nazis?). The danger that Iraq will in a few years descend into either a bloody civil war or a Shi’ite theocracy like Iran is obvious to people not blinded by ideological passions. The important question to be asked is this: why did we do this? Why did the US go after Saddam, a harmless old tinpot dictator rusting away in a decimated country? The only answer I can think of is that Israeli security somehow demanded this. There is an entire history preceding this Iraq war which involves the machinations of the Neocons. Lest I bore readers with facts they are well aware of (such as Richard Perle’s policy paper in 1996), this was always on the plate as far as the Neocons were concerned. To the Israelis, Saddam was always seen as a menace. But has this war really helped Israel? How is Israel better off, if in five years Iraq turns into an Iran-style Shia theocracy? The reasons for this war were never quite “logical” even when seen purely from the perspective of Israeli interests. So lets us go back again and see what has happened:- 1. The US and Britain ousted Saddam – a secular tyrant (the only kind in that part of the world that are not likely to aid terrorists) 2. The US and Britain occupied Iraq for two years and provided any amount of hate-fuel to the mullahs from Toronto to Tehran 3. The US and Britain lost 1400 men, now have 12,000 wounded and have spent half a trillion dollars 4. The US and Britain held elections in Iraq that have elected an Ayatollah 5. There is now a danger that Iraq will either descend into civil war fuelled by a resentful Sunni minority who won’t put up with Shia rule or we will have a Shi’ite theocracy. This is a cause for celebration?
Lawrence Auster notes the same developments here: http://www.amnation.com/vfr/archives/003080.html http://www.amnation.com/vfr/archives/003078.html Posted by Phil Peterson on Sunday, February 6, 2005 at 06:47 AM in War on Terror Comments:2
Posted by Phil Peterson on February 06, 2005, 02:27 PM | # Well said, Geoff. Its a strange kind of patriotism that requires one to celebrate the destruction of one’s own country (open borders, mass immigration from every conceivable country on earth) and the spilling of blood of one’s own for someone else’s country (Iraq - for reasons I needn’t repeat). We live in strange times. Anyway, its good to be back. Phil 3
Posted by Effra on February 06, 2005, 03:03 PM | # Most big wars are fought for more than one reason. Undoubtedly taking out the most formidable (albeit not very) remaining potential enemy of Israel was one privy motive for America’s Iraq Attaq. Four out of five US Congressmen get campaign money from Jewish lobbies. Although Iraq’s armed forces had been degraded by war with Iran and a decade of US-imposed sanctions, and its nuclear power plant was blitzed by Israel’s bombers a decade before that, Sharon wanted a proxy war to give himself a leg-up with Israeli voters before returning to negotiate and make concessions to the Pals. (BTW, Mossad, Israel’s external intelligence and security agency, advised against an Iraqi invasion, fearing that the resultant power vacuum would not be as good for the Jews as a neutered Saddam. They may well turn out to have been right.) However, the USA also had its own motives. On the point of being kicked out of its bases in Saudi—whose royals were terrified of the Wahhabi agitation focusing on the “blasphemy” of allowing the Great Satan to squat in the Prophet’s backyard—the Pentagon had long considered Iraq the optimal alternative site. In some ways it fits better the strategy of sealing Russia’s southern salient and encircling China: e.g. by making nice with India, Pakistan and the ex-Soviet “stans”. Iraq is closer to the Yellow Peril, and 14 huge bases have duly been staked out. Knocking off Saddam gave the relocation exercise some credibility, mitigating the embarrassingly non-democratic and Islamic coloration of most of the other encirclement countries. The Iraq Attaq could be sold as “unfinished business” from Gulf War I—we gave the sonofabitch time to mend his ways, but did he hell—and the fact that Iraq had long since ceased to pose a threat to any other country could be buried in visuals of citizens hailing their Yankee liberators. When they didn’t, the rationales became rather harder. For public consumption, there’s “we broke it, we gotta fix it” when all else fails. In semi-private, the reverse-domino theory is trotted out: if Iraq embraces “freedom”, so will all the other Ay-rabs. On verra. Meanwhile American power consoles itself with the vast sums awarded to the President’s corporate friends to clean up the mess he made. The families of dead GIs don’t fare so well, and many of the live ones will return broken in physical or mental health—but that’s the profit system, buddy. 4
Posted by Phil Peterson on February 06, 2005, 03:40 PM | # Effra, Insightful comments. Somehow your suggested logic of that war would seem to be completely defeated if the US has to pull out completely because that is what Iraqi public opinion and the newly elected Shi’ite Government demands. 5
Posted by DissidentMan on February 07, 2005, 02:12 PM | # On the other hand the mainstream left-wing press’ criticism of the war is timid. About leftists blaming strawmen I have often heard them saying that the US administration is worried about oil running out and is securing a future supply…If that’s true then let me point out that the Iraqi people will not simply give their oil to America. As long as they think American’s want their oil they’ll keep blowing up the pipelines. Furthermore I am under the distinct impression that many of the people in the Bush administration couldn’t care less about America’s future propseperity. It’s not clear how, in the modern age, an aggressive war against a far away land could pay genunie material dividends. 6
Posted by Svigor on February 07, 2005, 02:29 PM | # I think there are a couple of answers to the “is Israel better off?” question that people rarely address: 1) Israel abhors secular nationalistic opponents, and prefers radical Islamist opponents (the Mossad gave succor to Hamas for just that reason - the PLO was a bit too secular and nationalistic for Israel’s tastes). The “why” of this is more open to interpretation. I think it’s because Israel knows it will have an easier time courting sympathy and aid in the west if it has a radical towelheaded religious fanatic to hold up as boogeyman than a secular nationalistic boogeyman. It’s also easier to make peace with the former, a possibility which induces terror in some Israelis. 2) this is somewhat similar to 1: some Zionists feel that for Israel, in the Arab world worse is better. The more chaos in the ME, the more need for permanent American adventure, and thus the more security for Israel (at least from an Eretz Israel p.o.v.) 7
Posted by Svigor on February 07, 2005, 02:34 PM | # BTW, Mossad, Israel’s external intelligence and security agency, advised against an Iraqi invasion, fearing that the resultant power vacuum would not be as good for the Jews as a neutered Saddam. They may well turn out to have been right. Is the Mossad only an external security agency? If so I wasn’t aware of that. Is it like the U.S., with the Mossad as Israel’s C.I.A. and Shin Bet as her F.B.I? 8
Posted by Svigor on February 07, 2005, 02:40 PM | # Btw Effra I think you’re spot on about the “non-Zionist” causes for GW II, although I’d go a bit further and throw in the “what to do with our Cold War footing” angle. There’s nothing like an endless War on Terror to replace a Cold War and keep the military-industrial complex happy. I don’t think it’s all about oil, but I think oil has it’s place. Which is easier to bargain with, a country you’ve occupied or one you haven’t? 9
Posted by Effra on February 07, 2005, 09:54 PM | # Svigor: Shin Bet is the domestic, FBI-like agency. Oil was doubtless a major consideration that got Big Business on side for the Iraq Attaq—“think how you guys will clean up in the aftermath, doing deals with a compliant government”. But the prime movers of this irrelevant feint away from pursuing OBL were the neocons and the military industrial complex (MIC) of Halliburton et al. rather than Exxon or Mobil. The neocons included America’s Amen Corner for Zionism, who had been plotting the downfall of Saddam since the mid-1990s; others, primarily the gentile element, are inveterate “national greatness” warmongers, believing (rightly, I think) that the propositional nation would fall apart in low-intensity racial strife if it did not have some continuous external “threat” to keep it glued together under warfare/welfare discipline. Once Soviet communism collapsed, “Terror” or “Islamofascism” had to be promoted to fill the bogeyman role. (Previously, China was briefly tried out under Clinton, but is too obviously isolationist to convince.) The MIC required a reason to go on sucking at the public tit, though what ICBMs and Star Wars have to do with pacifying urban guerillas in Baghdad or Teheran is anyone’s guess. Luckily, to the typical US voting taxpayer “defense” is all one and any expensive kit may help “keep us safe”. Closing the country’s own frontiers would help more, but there are far too many GOP-backing corporations who need cheap immigrant labour to permit that. 10
Posted by Phil Peterson on February 08, 2005, 05:57 PM | # “others, primarily the gentile element, are inveterate “national greatness” warmongers, believing (rightly, I think) that the propositional nation would fall apart in low-intensity racial strife if it did not have some continuous external “threat” to keep it glued together under warfare/welfare discipline.” You’ve hit the bull’s eye. This really is the fundamental thing. Because there isn’t a single factor left that could DEFINE an American, the only way to define America is as being in opposition to something. Try and keep an abstract thing together by focussing on an asbtract thing - “International Terrorism!”, “They hate our freedoms”, “DEMOCRACY!” and the rest of that humbug. You would enjoy reading this piece: Next entry: The founder of modern conservatism was a Jew Previous entry: Mainstream self-hatred in England |
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Posted by Geoff Beck on February 06, 2005, 01:06 PM | #
Phil:
Reading the UK press reveals Britain is much more skeptical about the Iraq war than the USA, though the reasons for the discontent are rooted differently than mine.
Regardless, if you lived in the USA you would be forever bombarded with pro-war rhetoric from Foxnews, talk radio, and popular conservative websites. Much of this rhetoric is bloodthirsty, blinkered, and alarmist.
On the other hand the mainstream left-wing press’ criticism of the war is timid. (Guess, who owns both the left and right wing press?) Beyond that fact any criticism of the war is met with by angry howls of traiter, coddler of terrorists, and etc… The most effective charge is “if you don’t support the war you’re putting the knife in our soldier’s back”. Well, patriotism is a two-edged sword.
Anyway, this rhetoric fills the airwaves. Yes, the supposed triumph of the election is just another reason for the triumphalists and empire builders to perform their turkey strut.
Welcome back, Phil.