Worst case scenario

Posted by Guessedworker on Monday, 22 November 2004 16:30.

Picture for a moment an early morning, say, next Spring.  It is the middle of the rush hour in a city in the north of England.  But this is not to be just any city or any morning.  This morning will be remembered as long as men draw breath.  This morning local radio has reported that three identical backpacks, each equipped with a tank and motorised aerosol, have been discovered - one at the railway station, two on busy street corners.  The tanks were said to be empty.  How many more there are out there nobody knows.  Shock and rumour spreads.  Al Qaeda.  People are talking about biological weapons, smallpox possibly.  Could it be true?  It doesn’t matter.  Everyone knows what it means if it is true.

By nine the broadcast media are reporting the events and speculating on their cause.  Scheduled programming has been suspended.  A few talking heads – opposition politicians, terrorist experts, ex-military men, an ex-scientist at Porton Down – are wiseacring at short notice in the way they do.  But as yet there is no official statement.

In any case almost as one, people are drawing the obvious conclusion and deciding what they must therefore do.  An exodus of citizens terrified for their children and themselves bursts into being.  Schools just filled are quickly emptied.  Cases are packed, cars loaded and driven out into streets in which no law, no bar to progress is tolerated.

It takes another sixty minutes for central government to act.  There is no great appeal for calm.  Calm, if that is what it is, will be enforced.  Everyone attempting to leave or who has left the city is to return.  Everyone contemplating leaving the city is to remain where they are.  All are to obey a 24-hour curfew to be effected from 6pm.  Ominously, there is no confirmation or denial of the rumours, no attempt to appear other than authoritarian.  Public fear reaches a point of conflagration.

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A disgraced dollar, an enfeebled euro - who benefits?

Posted by leslie on Monday, 22 November 2004 14:25.

The renminbi is China’s paper currency; the word translates as the people’s currency and features one of history’s greatest criminals. Hearing the word “renminbi” first a few years ago I’ve rarely heard it uttered since. Americans, and Europeans, too, ought to know much more about China and its currency.

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The Bear’s Lair: Creating a saving culture

Posted by karlmagnus on Monday, 22 November 2004 12:05.

The Bear’s Lair: Creating a saving culture
(published by United Press International, 22 November)

The U.S. savings rate was a dismal 0.2 percent of Gross Domestic Product in the third quarter of 2004, and nobody but economists seemed to care.  Once foreign central banks stop financing the United States’ twin trade and budget deficits, this will have to change, or crisis will ensue.  Changing the ingrained U.S. spending habit won’t be easy, and will certainly be unpopular.

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America: Onwards & Upwards

Posted by leslie on Sunday, 21 November 2004 23:54.

In a time of war the American public remains sober and ready to bear any burden.

Well, you know my theory of punishment.


Sex Toys become “mainstream”

Posted by Phil Peterson on Sunday, 21 November 2004 19:10.

Before I begin, I must of course apologise for the rather “in your face” nature of this post and indeed its headline. It is shocking and if it is found to be shocking, there is still perhaps some life left in our souls. There is an article in the Telegraph today which caught my eye.

“Sex sells, everybody knows that. But it now sells in Debenhams and Boots as well as the seedy, neon-lit shops of Soho and King’s Cross.”

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Conflicted motherhood

Posted by Guest Blogger on Saturday, 20 November 2004 17:35.

Joanna Murray-Smith confesses

in a recent Age article,

“I am leading the life the feminists of the ‘70s dreamed of: successful professional and mother - but it’s no dream.”

Why not? Because of the mental anguish she feels at not having time to spend with her children. She asks,

“Where is the play time with our kids? Where are the long hours of unhurried togetherness?”

She admits that “I go to bed at night asking myself over and over again how much our working lives really benefit our children?” and that “increasingly I resent the dishonesty of pretending that our children are not guinea pigs in an experiment that is, in many ways, a failure.”

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Berkeley sociologists dream about voter fraud in Florida

Posted by jonjayray on Saturday, 20 November 2004 10:00.

The “voter fraud” explanation that many Leftists give as the reason for their loss of the recent U.S. Presidential election has already been pretty thoroughly debunked.  But Leftists are still not giving up on it. Given their own efforts to rig the vote by enrolling dead people etc., one can understand their conviction that there was foul play. It’s another example of their chronic “projection” (seeing their own faults in others). And I am sure that one place where the fraud explanation is almost universally treated as gospel would be the People’s Republic of Berkeley. So it is no surprise that a group of Berkeley sociologists have done a statistical analysis (PDF) which they believe offers proof that voting-machine fraud took place in the Florida voting.

The method they adopted is amusing, however. I myself taught sociological statistics at a major Australian university for many years so maybe I can explain simply what they did. They took a large number of things that normally predict the vote and combined them to produce an estimate of what the vote SHOULD have been. They then show that this estimate of the Republican vote was lower than the official Republican vote in precincts where voting machines were used. They then conclude that the official figures were “rigged” because they diverged from the theoretical figures.

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Death to Iraqis, Not to Foxes

Posted by Phil Peterson on Saturday, 20 November 2004 06:07.

A superb article in the Spectator by Geoffrey Wheatcroft sums up the sheer absurdity, cynicism, corruption and hypocrisy of our political culture:


http://www.spectator.co.uk/article.php?id=5275&issue=2004-11-20

 

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