Category: Demographics

2011 UK Census to be neutered

The coalition government, in its search for economies, is in the process of deciding to scrap the Office for National Statistics’ ten-yearly household census.  It favours a piecemeal approach based on public and private databases.

… critics raised concerns that the new methods will fail to provide the same detailed picture of the nation’s population, religion and social habits and described the decision as regrettable and a terrible mistake.

... Geoffrey Robertson QC, a constitutional barrister, said the news was ‘regrettable’ because since some sort of count had been carried out by the monarch or government of Britain for more than 1,000 years.

‘Future historians will be less able to interpret Britain as a result of this decision — maybe that is the reason for it.’

David Green, a director of the Civitas think tank, called the decision ‘a terrible mistake’.

‘It is a question of whether the alternatives are reliable. The census is expensive but I think it is worth the money for the historic continuity.’

Next year’s national Census cannot be stopped, but will be subject to unspecified economies.  The implications for the content of the questionnaire, which currently allows “whites” to specify their ethnicity, the first box in this section being “English - Welsh - Scottish - Northern Irish - British”, and for the resultant database, due to be available from the middle of 2012, is now uncertain.  Thereafter, it is difficult to see how information on ethnicity can be extracted from other databases.  Country of birth, yes, but racial origin, no.  The process of replacement cannot be accurately measured without that information, and that does not help us at all.

Posted by Guessedworker on Saturday, July 10, 2010 at 08:06 AM in Demographics
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Painting a Picture

A Demographic Overview Of Whites Within The United States

By The Narrator

The following is a basic look at the demographics of White percentages by state(s) within regions. I’ve used general geographic definitions to cluster states that are, well, naturally clustered together. So, for example, my usage of the term “south-west” may not be what an American would necessarily concur with. But my compartmentalizing of the states is more functional and done with Europeans, Australians, etc in mind .... I hope it’s all clear.

The point here is not to advocate some sort of regional movement by saying this region is Whiter than that region. It is simply to provide basic information. Besides migration patterns can change quickly and what appears to be a doomed state or region today may be Whiter in years to come. And Whiter regions or states today may be dramatically less so in ten years time.

So this is a “Just the Facts” type of exercise.

The percentages here are not fixed and tend to fluctuate a point or two even within the Census material. We’ll know more after next year when the 2010 census begins. And I expect the news for us to be worse than some imagine. I hope I’m wrong.

A few things to keep in mind looking at these percentages is that they are based on estimates from 2007 by the Census Bureau, not concrete numbers. Also, the definition of white which the Census uses includes peoples from North Africa and the Middle-East. So it erroneously includes Jews, Arabs, Iranians, Turks etc, as “white”. And there are somewhere around 14 million of those peoples in America. Lastly, the numbers of illegals have been, by all accounts, rather obviously (and likely intentionally) underestimated.

So looking at these percentages, you could arguably subtract anywhere from 1 to 10 additional points from the percentage of Whites in some, or all, states.

With that said, here goes. The percentage of Whites will appear next to each state. At the bottom of each list will be a total average for that region, except with the single states and the District of Columbia which would be redundant.

Continued...

Posted by Guest Blogger on Friday, April 3, 2009 at 09:57 PM in Demographics
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On minority status

The news that white Americans will be a minority has washed up at the Telegraph:-

Higher birth rates among minority residents, especially Hispanics, is accelerating the demographic changes brought by immigration and will lead to an end of the US’ white majority around 2042.

“The white population is older and very much centered around the aging baby boomers who are well past their high fertility years,” said William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution, a Washington think tank. “The future of America is epitomized by the young people today. They are basically the melting pot we are going to see in the future.”

The Census Bureau released projections through 2050, based on rates for births, deaths and immigration.

The US’ 305 million population is expected to grow to 400 million in 2039 and 439 million in 2050.

White non-Hispanics make up about two-thirds of the population, but only 55 percent of those younger than 5.

By 2050, whites will make up 46 percent of the population and blacks will make up 15 percent, a relatively small increase from today. Hispanic will account for 30 percent in 2050, double their current share.

Asians, which make up about 5 percent of the population, are projected to increase to 9 percent by 2050.

The population 85 and older is projected to more than triple by 2050, to 19 million.

The companion piece to this was last November’s “come-clean” by the UK Official of National Statistics, which forecast that population would rise to hitherto unmentioned levels.  The Daily Mail, ever anxious to stoke the fires of righteous indignation, majored on the upper level of the forecast thus:-

Continued...

Posted by Guessedworker on Thursday, August 14, 2008 at 11:25 PM in Demographics
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Whither the West?

Watching CNN last night, they had a special on Osama bin Laden that raised several interesting points on the so-called war on terror. One segment showed a Belgium jihadist going back to Afghanistan on bin Laden’s orders to kill a powerful warlord that was problematic to the Taliban, to gain the Taliban’s cooperation in allowing him to operate within their territory. But that was not the interesting part of the piece.

It also displayed how Islamists can martyr themselves so easily. This man’s wife, still in Belgium, was very proud of her husband’s sacrifice (though her face was veiled—maybe he desired release from her). She indicated that she was getting praise from her friends and kin, and she also received money from bin Laden. This makes this form of extremism much more difficult to comprehend, as Western morals do not allow suicide without bringing great shame and grief to friends and relatives. I know that one restraint for not lashing out at someone else violently, or even verbally in this politically correct world, is the fear of hurting my people. But what if violence was seen as honorable, with my family being proud of my actions? A very different set of circumstances emerges.

Continued...

Posted by Matt Nuenke on Monday, September 11, 2006 at 06:03 PM in Demographics
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Race Replacement

Why the American government wants to elect a new people

One of the more extraordinary documents relating to immigration is an essay for the Center for Immigration Studies by the unusual figure Fredo Arias-King, a Harvard MBA, a Sovietologist, and an advisor to Vicente Fox during his 2000 Presidential campaign. He was the first to point out to me that Fox’s first Foreign Secretary, Jorge G. Castanea’s mother, a Soviet woman working a the UN, might have been a Soviet spy.

Working for Fox, Arias-King met with 80 members of the U.S. Congress , and discussed immigration in detail with 50. Of those, 90% were enthusiastic about boosting immigration from Mexico.

Continued...

Posted by Svyatoslav Igorevich on Wednesday, August 16, 2006 at 04:53 PM in Demographics,  Immigration
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The cost of “compassion”

Liam Byrne is not precisely a household name. If asked, the typical man on the street would probably have the vague idea that the man is either a rock singer or a perma-tanned TV-presenter. He is neither, but the Byrne family shouldn’t breath a sigh of relief just yet, for he is infact Britain’s immigration minister and he has an idea of his own: a blanket amnesty for illegal immigrants.

I cannot imagine that he will get much opposition in Parliament. Dave Cameron has already informed us that he intends to commit his party to support for open borders. The Lib Dems… when did you last hear about the Lib Dems opposing any pro-immigrant measure (when did you last hear about the Lib Dems, for that matter)? The press will probably be similarly supportive, throwing out cliches about our duty to be “compassionate”, “tolerant” and so on.

No, the cry of dissent will come not from our democratic institutions, but from a rather more venerable source, ole’ reality itself. The Daily Mail reports:

It would take 30 years to build enough council houses for all the illegal immigrants in the country if the Government allowed them to stay, a report claims today.

...

The independent Migrationwatch think-tank warns that such an amnesty would cause chaos, as all successful asylum seekers are eligible for social housing.

Two asylum seeker families are now settling in Britain for every new council house built, the report adds.

Continued...

Posted by Alex Zeka on Tuesday, July 11, 2006 at 01:17 PM in British Politics,  Demographics,  Immigration
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Inductivist raids GSS

Ron Guhname Compares Ethnic Groups

Some great stuff in there:

In America, which ethnic group is most ethnocentric? The General Social Survey asked respondents if they think about social and political issues as Americans or as members of an ethnic group. The obvious choice is blacks, right? Well yeah, there’s no news there. Listed below are the percent who answered ethnic group:

1. Blacks 43.5%
2. Mexicans 21.9
3. Jews 15.8
4. Italians 12.0
5. American Indians 7.8
6. Irish 5.1
7. Scots 4.8
8. English/Welsh 2.5
9. Germans .9

I bet the jewish number isn’t representative.  They’re crafty enough to know better than to answer honestly.  The same probably goes to a lesser extent for Mexicans.  Blacks get a “get out of media spotlight free” card at birth so their figure is probably relatively accurate.

Posted by Svyatoslav Igorevich on Thursday, June 8, 2006 at 09:19 PM in Demographics,  Race realism
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Ocean Frontier Fertility: Escape From Vectorism’s Anthrocide

My series on ocean frontier fertility has discussed the potential for white population increase.  It did not discuss the negative benefit of such frontiers:  escape from the coming anthrocide—the die off of the vast majority of humanity most likely brought about by vectorism‘s promotion of virulence.  Although large scale activity on the ocean frontier is long enough in the future to make this topic less than urgent, it is nevertheless timely as a university professor of ecology has, during a professional conference, praised the potential of a new strain of airborne Ebola that could kill 90% of the human population, receiving a standing ovation from fellow scientists.  Shades of ”Twelve Monkeys”.  Current projections of pandemic deaths do not directly kill 90% of the world’s population, but during the next decades, vectorism’s pervasive growth of globalist reach may well provide sufficient virulence and transmissibility to achieve the professor’s goal—a time during which ocean frontiers may be developed and become relevant for demographic purposes.

Continued...

Posted by James Bowery on Monday, April 3, 2006 at 04:24 AM in Demographics
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Ocean Frontier Fertility: The Near Term Possibility of Bluefin Tuna Production

Having previously discussed the theoretic global potential of iron fertilization to peacefully increase the population of whites, the immediate problem is how to bring this theoretic potential into actual practice in the near term.  In all likelihood this new regime will be opened up in the same way other new regimes are opened: with high value products or services that are under increasing demand and/or decreasing availability.  With over-harvesting of natural ocean fisheries and the increasing demand from growing Asian markets, a point is rapidly approaching where oceanic cultivation of some of the higher value products will be capitalized.  This essay is about one such potential and how it can seed the iron fertilization potential for white population increase: Oceanic Cultivation of Bluefin Tuna.

Continued...

Posted by James Bowery on Wednesday, March 29, 2006 at 08:47 AM in Demographics
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Blackening Britain

Whites will soon become a minority in Birmingham and other major British cities, posing a “critical” challenge to social stability, Britain’s race relations watchdog has warned.  Trevor Phillips, chairman of the Commission for Racial Equality (CRE), says “tough decisions” will have to be made as Leicester then Birmingham, Oldham and Bradford become “plural cities” where no one race holds a demographic majority.  The warning comes as government statistics show that white and ethnic minority communities are becoming increasingly segregated by growing population movement and immigration.

Continued...

Posted by jonjayray on Sunday, March 19, 2006 at 05:27 AM in Demographics
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Ocean Frontier Fertility: The Global Prospects

The prospects are great for ecologically imposed patriarchy enhancing the fertility of whites via oceanic frontiers.  The majority of the earth’s surface remains not only uncultivated, but not biologically productive despite the presence of adequate sunlight and near-adequate nutrients. If recent experiments in iron fertilization of high nitrogen low chlorophyll oceanic surface regions are any indication, the primary ingredient lacking is the pioneering spirit that led to the cultivation and increased carrying capacity of the Anglosphere’s frontier territories: The United States, Canada, New Zealand and Australia.  It is reasonable to expect that the Anglosphere alone could increase its numbers by a factor of 10, relatively unmolested by multicultural supremacists, during this pioneering renaissance and maintain if not improve the quality of their populations.  Other, less sea-faring European peoples could enjoy smaller but nevertheless profound population and territorial relief.  Moreover this population increase could be very rapid if the fertility rates of the United States frontier is any guide.  This is a prospect that seems plausible in no other way short of world war.

Continued...

Posted by James Bowery on Friday, March 10, 2006 at 03:19 AM in Demographics,  European Nationalism,  Globalisation,  Libertarianism,  Science & Technology,  White Nationalism
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Catastrophic drop in births in Japan

It’s because of all those blacks and Hispanics they have around the place there of course

More than half of the women born during Japan’s second postwar baby boom from 1971 to 1974 had not had any children by age 30, according to statistics released Friday by the Health, Labor and Welfare Ministry.

Coupled with an earlier prediction that the number of women of childbearing age—15 to 49—will continue to decline over the coming decade or more, the ministry is concerned that the fall in the birthrate will accelerate.

Continued...

Posted by jonjayray on Saturday, March 4, 2006 at 07:51 AM in Demographics
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Ocean Frontier Fertility:  Ecologically Imposed Patriarchy

In The Return of Patriarchy Foreign Policy’s Phillip Longman opines:

Patriarchy does not simply mean that men rule. Indeed, it is a particular value system that not only requires men to marry but to marry a woman of proper station. It competes with many other male visions of the good life, and for that reason alone is prone to come in cycles. Yet before it degenerates, it is a cultural regime that serves to keep birthrates high among the affluent, while also maximizing parents’ investments in their children. No advanced civilization has yet learned how to endure without it.

And I would add that no advanced white civilization has yet endured for the simple reason that none has learned what makes Europeans fertile.

As I’ve often pointed out before, there are two big exceptions to the decline of total fertility rates among whites, exemplified in the United States by Utah and Alaska.  These two States correspond to the ancient dichotomy between socially imposed monogamy and ecologically imposed monogamy respectively.  Utah has socially imposed male authority (via Mormonism which posits a father as priest to his family) and Alaska has ecologically imposed male authority.  It is the latter that is the more natural for whites and it is why abandonment of the pursuit of frontiers, as occurred in 1972, is so destructive to white fertility.  By frontiers I’m referring to physical, not political, frontiers.  Although fighting wars can affect the operational sex ratio (unmated males/unmated females) in a way that enhances white fertility, it is a terminal euphoria, as shown by the post WW II baby boom generation.  The frontiers I’m talking about increase the carrying capacity of a territory as happened in Europe during the retreat of the glaciers, during the neolithic, or during the expansion of North American crop cover.  Although I’ve walked my talk for a long time now to open up space as a frontier, the wheels of the gods are now turning slowly in the right direction for the long journey there and it is time to pursue more immediate concerns.  That is what this series of messages on “Ocean Frontier Fertility” will be about.

Posted by James Bowery on Friday, March 3, 2006 at 04:01 PM in Demographics
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My last word in a dialogue of the deaf

“race replacement”

I have often touched on this idea in the Comment threads to no apparent effect so I will say it just once more:  The survival of white ethnic groups depends entirely on the reproductive decisions of white females.  What geographic arrangements they make for themselves and their children is entirely trivial compared to that.

I agree that race replacement does happen.  I myself grieve at the loss of the London I once knew.  But the white Londoners have NOT been exterminated.  Like all affluent populations they have simply done two things:  1). Moved to more spacious accomodation further out; 2).  Ceased to reproduce at replacement levels.

And the low reproduction rate has NOTHING to do with being “crowded out” by blacks.  The low rate is common to ALL affluent populations.  The most prosperous population in China are the Hong Kongers and they have virtually NO ethnic competitors.  So what is their reproduction rate?  The world’s lowest—.9.

Continued...

Posted by jonjayray on Thursday, March 2, 2006 at 01:41 AM in Demographics
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Race replacement in Britain

From Melanie Phillips:

Last week, the Office of National Statistics produced experimental figures showing that indigenous Britons were leaving the country and steadily being replaced by non-European immigrants, who were increasing by an annual average of 3.8 per cent compared to -0.1 per cent for the indigenous inhabitants.

And from the Guardian:

Whites will be an ethnic minority in Britain by the end of the century. Analysis of official figures indicate that, at current fertility rates and levels of immigration, there will be more non-whites than whites by 2100.

It would be the first time in history that a major indigenous population has voluntarily become a minority, rather than through war, famine or disease. Whites will be a minority in London by 2010.

...

The demographer who made the calculation wished to remain anonymous for fear of accusations of racism.

But of course, it’s hard to “voluntarily” partake in an endeavour of which you were neither informed nor consulted. 

Posted by Steve Edwards on Saturday, February 11, 2006 at 10:03 PM in Demographics
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Some population news in brief

No hope for Europe:  “The fertility rates in the western industrialized countries are well below the replacement rate of 2.1 babies per woman. For the European Union as a whole, the estimated 2005 fertility rate was 1.47 babies per woman. In some countries, the rate is even lower. However, in France, approximately one birth in three is to a Muslim family. Stripped of the Muslim influence, the fertility rate of the native-born or traditionally European French would be 1.2, similar to the rates in Italy and Spain.”

Immigration of little benefit to Australia:  “An abiding and unshakeable belief of Australian business is that immigration is good for the economy and we need a lot more of it than we’re getting.  But is the belief soundly based? According to a Productivity Commission paper on Economic Impacts of Migration and Population Growth, not really. The economic benefits are “very small"."

Posted by jonjayray on Saturday, February 4, 2006 at 12:53 PM in Demographics
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It’s the demography, stupid

Steyn takes the (really) long (really) scenic route to announcing:

We are living through a remarkable period: the self-extinction of the races who, for good or ill, shaped the modern world.

Watch the Freepers (a.k.a. respectable conservatives) dodge the issue:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1550345/posts

Posted by Svyatoslav Igorevich on Tuesday, January 3, 2006 at 11:34 PM in Demographics,  Islam & Islamification,  World Affairs
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Demography of the future

Another excellent piece by Stuart Staniford at theoildrum. The graphs alone are worth the price of admission. Here’s just one of them*:

*TFR= total fertility per woman

Posted by Søren Renner on Tuesday, December 20, 2005 at 05:14 PM in Demographics
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Poor whites keeping the U.S. birthrate up?

There is a big table of statistics here on female fertility in the USA.  The figures that I found most interesting were from non-Hispanic whites aged 35 to 44. Women of that age will have mostly completed their families and the difference between the over 40 and under 40 sectors were in fact slight.  Around 20% had NEVER had children, which, to the best of my knowledge, is what it has always been.  There were plenty of maiden aunts in Victorian and Edwardian England, for instance.

But most encouraging was the no. of children per woman in that age and racial group.  At around 1.8 it is quite high compared with Europe.  How many of the whites concerned were poor whites is however another matter.  My guess would be that the white American birthrate is so high mainly because America has a lot of poor whites.  In welfare states, of course, nobody is really poor.

Posted by jonjayray on Tuesday, December 20, 2005 at 02:21 AM in Demographics
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Baby boom traced to government encouragement

Australia has experienced the biggest increase in its fertility rate in almost a decade, and family-friendly policies and the $3000 baby bonus have been given the credit.  According to the first Australian Bureau of Statistics figures to track births since the bonus was introduced in July last year, there were 67,500 children born in the June quarter this year, up from 61,400 in the same period last year. The fertility rate reached 1.79 babies per woman, up from 1.73 in 2001.  Almost 258,000 babies were born across the nation in 2004-05, compared with 252,000 in the previous financial year.

Australian National University demographer Peter McDonald said the baby bonus was the central reason for the increase.  “The maternity payment has had a strong psychological impact,” he said. “It’s a statement by the Government and society that we value children. “It’s the first time we’ve had a fertility rate of 1.8 for a decade, and I think we’ll stay at that level and it may even increase.” ...

AMP Capital Investors chief economist Shane Oliver said there were no foreseeable economic or social trends that would cause the fertility rate to fall.  “We have a very favourable economic environment with low unemployment, and I think that would be providing a lot of comfort for people thinking of having a baby,” Dr Oliver said yesterday.  “If we can maintain these favourable economic conditions, and the Government continues to promote having bigger families and backs it up with financial incentives, the fertility rate will continue to go up and up.”

More here

Posted by jonjayray on Monday, December 12, 2005 at 12:22 PM in Demographics
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California’s near-term future

By 2020, California will be more crowded, its population older and its racial composition dominated by Latinos, according to a report released Tuesday.

The changes will pose challenges to state lawmakers, who will have to grapple with the additional pressures on already-strained schools and health-care systems, according to the report by the California Budget Project.  In just 15 years, one in seven Californians will be age 65 or older, the state will add 10 million residents, and Latinos will account for 43 percent of the population, with whites accounting for about 34 percent.  The white and Latino populations are expected to become equal in 2010, when each is projected to account for 39 percent of the population, said Barbara Baran, associate director of the organization and the report’s author.  The report, “Planning for California’s Future,” examined Census data and figures from the California Department of Finance. While it doesn’t offer recommendations, its intent is to warn lawmakers of the coming shifts.

http://www.whittierdailynews.com/news/ci_3243198

Posted by jonjayray on Wednesday, November 23, 2005 at 11:36 AM in Demographics
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Mass migration destroys humanity?

A key distinguishing feature of humanity is its communication ability.  But what exactly is communication as opposed to manipulation?  How does communication arise?  What are the conditions for its continuation?  There have been a number of attempts at simulating the evolution of communication but till the simulation described in this article was run, none of them combined migration, climatic variation and the prisoner’s dilemma.

The simulaton is schematic but suggestive that migration can eliminate the very genetic capacity for communication and replace it with pure manipulation.

Continued...

Posted by James Bowery on Saturday, November 19, 2005 at 03:40 PM in Demographics,  Ethnicity and Ethnic Genetic Interests,  Genetics & Human Bio-Diversity,  Globalisation,  Immigration
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Europe 2015

A little over the top but it gets the point across

Posted by Phil Peterson on Saturday, November 5, 2005 at 09:37 PM in Demographics
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Race replacement in action

Steve Sailer’s latest article looks at the latest numbers in America. They don’t look good. 

Posted by Phil Peterson on Monday, October 31, 2005 at 07:40 AM in Demographics
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The Tipping Point: Total Births By Race for 2003/04

Zach from Our Way of Life Blog sent me this data, fresh from the CDC website. 

Posted by leslie on Friday, October 28, 2005 at 09:20 PM in Demographics
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