[Majorityrights News] Trump will ‘arm Ukraine to the teeth’ if Putin won’t negotiate ceasefire Posted by Guessedworker on Tuesday, 12 November 2024 16:20. [Majorityrights News] Olukemi Olufunto Adegoke Badenoch wins Tory leadership election Posted by Guessedworker on Saturday, 02 November 2024 22:56. [Majorityrights News] What can the Ukrainian ammo storage hits achieve? Posted by Guessedworker on Saturday, 21 September 2024 22:55. [Majorityrights Central] An Ancient Race In The Myths Of Time Posted by James Bowery on Wednesday, 21 August 2024 15:26. [Majorityrights Central] Slaying The Dragon Posted by James Bowery on Monday, 05 August 2024 15:32. [Majorityrights Central] The legacy of Southport Posted by Guessedworker on Friday, 02 August 2024 07:34. [Majorityrights News] Farage only goes down on one knee. Posted by Guessedworker on Saturday, 29 June 2024 06:55. [Majorityrights News] An educated Russian man in the street says his piece Posted by Guessedworker on Wednesday, 19 June 2024 17:27. [Majorityrights Central] Freedom’s actualisation and a debased coin: Part 1 Posted by Guessedworker on Friday, 07 June 2024 10:53. [Majorityrights News] Computer say no Posted by Guessedworker on Thursday, 09 May 2024 15:17. [Majorityrights News] Be it enacted by the people of the state of Oklahoma Posted by Guessedworker on Saturday, 27 April 2024 09:35. [Majorityrights Central] Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan … defend or desert Posted by Guessedworker on Sunday, 14 April 2024 10:34. [Majorityrights News] Moscow’s Bataclan Posted by Guessedworker on Friday, 22 March 2024 22:22. [Majorityrights News] Soren Renner Is Dead Posted by James Bowery on Thursday, 21 March 2024 13:50. [Majorityrights News] Collett sets the record straight Posted by Guessedworker on Thursday, 14 March 2024 17:41. [Majorityrights Central] Patriotic Alternative given the black spot Posted by Guessedworker on Thursday, 14 March 2024 17:14. [Majorityrights Central] On Spengler and the inevitable Posted by Guessedworker on Wednesday, 21 February 2024 17:33. [Majorityrights News] Alex Navalny, born 4th June, 1976; died at Yamalo-Nenets penitentiary 16th February, 2024 Posted by Guessedworker on Friday, 16 February 2024 23:43. [Majorityrights News] A Polish analysis of Moscow’s real geopolitical interests and intent Posted by Guessedworker on Tuesday, 06 February 2024 16:36. [Majorityrights Central] Things reactionaries get wrong about geopolitics and globalism Posted by Guessedworker on Wednesday, 24 January 2024 10:49. [Majorityrights News] Savage Sage, a corrective to Moscow’s flood of lies Posted by Guessedworker on Friday, 12 January 2024 14:44. [Majorityrights Central] Twilight for the gods of complacency? Posted by Guessedworker on Tuesday, 02 January 2024 10:22. [Majorityrights Central] Milleniyule 2023 Posted by Guessedworker on Friday, 22 December 2023 13:11. [Majorityrights Central] A Russian Passion Posted by Guessedworker on Friday, 22 December 2023 01:11. [Majorityrights Central] Out of foundation and into the mind-body problem, part four Posted by Guessedworker on Saturday, 02 December 2023 00:39. [Majorityrights News] The legacy of Richard Lynn Posted by Guessedworker on Thursday, 31 August 2023 22:18. [Majorityrights Central] Out of foundation and into the mind-body problem, part three Posted by Guessedworker on Sunday, 27 August 2023 00:25. [Majorityrights Central] A couple of exchanges on the nature and meaning of Christianity’s origin Posted by Guessedworker on Tuesday, 25 July 2023 22:19. [Majorityrights Central] The True Meaning of The Fourth of July Posted by James Bowery on Sunday, 02 July 2023 14:39. [Majorityrights News] Is the Ukrainian counter-offensive for Bakhmut the counter-offensive for Ukraine? Posted by Guessedworker on Thursday, 18 May 2023 18:55. [Majorityrights News] Charles crowned king of anywhere Posted by Guessedworker on Sunday, 07 May 2023 00:05. [Majorityrights News] Lavrov: today the Kinburn Spit, tomorrow the (New) World (Order) Posted by Guessedworker on Friday, 07 April 2023 11:04. [Majorityrights Central] On an image now lost: Part One Posted by Guessedworker on Friday, 07 April 2023 00:33. [Majorityrights News] The Dutch voter giveth, the Dutch voter taketh away Posted by Guessedworker on Saturday, 18 March 2023 11:30. Majorityrights Central > Category: LawThis is the second part of my re-work of the original Journey posts. A third will follow. —————————————————————————————————————————————————————-
He found “B”, a middle-aged woman of unremarkable appearance and cool demeanour whom he knew only by the pseudonym Beatrix, sitting primly in the sun on one of the benches by the tennis courts in Lincoln’s Inn Fields. There were no niceties exchanged. “Do you want to sit or walk?” he asked her. She rose and the two of them began to stroll slowly around the perimeter of the Fields. “We were disappointed to learn,” she stated, “that you will only be meeting with Driscoll. How did that happen?” Dunstan didn’t know. “I sent you Driscoll’s text. The Prof couldn’t make it, that’s all.” “I doubt if that’s all,” she responded, “If Upton is distancing himself or not taking you seriously we want to know why. We want to keep on top of things.” Dunstan nodded dutifully although, in truth, he was not at all the dutiful sort. “I’ll ask,” he said, “but I really need to stick to law as much as possible. I’m not sure what else I can safely say to Driscoll if, as you say, he’s just the money-man. It might be wiser to postpone altogether.” “Postponing now would only make you look suspect,” she retorted, “We started with him, remember. So it follows that you must want to see him. About what, precisely, it doesn’t matter nearly as much as you think. You’re on the same side. You haven’t got to explain everything. It’s more subtle than that. Watch his face. Sense his working assumptions about you. Where they are positive let him run with them. Where they’re not, throw in a redirection or put him off by cross-examining him. Never allow him to cross-examine you. Always be aware of the underlying power-dynamics. It’s trade-craft. Surely it must be second nature to any half-decent advocate?” Something close to a smile yet not a smile, a schemer’s relish, played on her lips. But it was gone without trace in an instant. “Yeah yeah, OK,” said Dunstan, sighing wearily. She had this way of beating him down which felt intentional. Was that because she was “aware of the underlying power-dynamics”? He was a junior of thirty-one, for Christ’s sake, and he knew perfectly well how to handle himself. He was not charmed to be told otherwise, even by MI5. He didn’t hide it well, either. “Am I boring you, Mr Dunstan?” Beatrix inquired with quiet malice. “This is a formal operation, in case you have forgotten. It has a clear objective, a plan of action, a codename, and a budget. What it does not have is room for cavalier attitudes from you.” “No, I’m sorry,” he said, knuckling down again,“of course I will do as you ask.” “You will have to,” his handler stated flatly, “You’re in now and there’s no getting out.”
Having seen the front page illustration to the British Constitution Group website, making a big song and dance about how “The People Retain Authority over their Government”, our close friend John Standing thought he might ask a question of these lawyerly folk. Here it is:
Several years ago I ripped off the first couple of chapters of a book that I had no intention of writing in full. The idea was to explore in dramatic form the question of how Western governments might be taken to the International Criminal Court on a charge of committing a genocide agaist their native European people. The two essays that it took to accomplish the task were pretty well received by the then MR commentariat. But, in fact, they would both have benefitted from a longer period of gestation and a more considered approach to the actual writing. Now I’m re-writing them in a more developed and more narrowly-focussed form for the purpose of offering the finished product to PA for their site. The whole exercise should run close to 8,000 words, the first half of which is posted below. The second half will follow in two or three days. “The Court will hear your opening statement if you please, Mr Truscott-Brown,” announced the presiding chief justice in fluent but by no means native English. For that was to be the only language spoken in the room during the next three undoubtedly arduous days. No translators would be whispering into microphones, no one in Court would be hurriedly adjusting his or her earpiece to catch some mangled phrase. This was an entirely English, or British, affair except that it was taking place at The Hague before one judge from Montreal, another from Heidelberg, and a third from Uppsala, all of whom had forgone the privilege of hearing the proceedings in their native tongue. “Thank you, your Honour,” came the reply in ringing received pronunciation. George Truscott-Brown QC OBE, FSA, RHS, lead advocate for the plaintiff, eternal renegade and inveterate fighter of lost causes, peered over his reading glasses at the unknown quantity which was the bench. He steadied himself inwardly and, with a final, ever so slightly uncertain caress of the bundle of papers on the table in front of him, rose to begin his work for the day. “Learned judges, may I at the outset, on behalf of the appellants, myself and my team, state for the record of proceedings our sincere gratitude to each of you and to the ICC as a whole for agreeing to hear this application. We fully appreciate that that decision alone broke new ground. So your Honours will be acutely aware that this is a conceptually novel and therefore, in some quarters, controversial action which presents a number of tests for the 1948 Convention. If the plaintiff is successful at this review, a subsequent plenary hearing may set precedent in several areas of high significance for the jurisdiction and practise of the ICC and, specifically, for its future interpretation of Article 2. By that we mean, in particular, its interpretation of prevention in the context of the modern Western society where armed conflict is absent. “Mindful, therefore, of all this, and of the profound responsibility which would weigh upon the eventual trial judges, it is our intention, at the kind invitation of the Office of the Prosecutor, to present your Honours with the greatest possible wealth of evidence and legal argument within the time available to us. It is our firm belief that all of the former will be ruled admissible and the latter applicable, and that your Honours will be led to the only possible conclusion that the Court must grant the Prosecutor leave to investigate the complicity of those individuals named in the Court papers in the creation of conditions of life calculated to bring about, over time, the physical destruction of whole or part of the peoples native to Great Britain. It is our firm belief that we will clear that high legislative bar.” And so it began.
A cautionary tale for policemen All morning, John Holly lay sleepless on the thin, blue plastic mattress in his cell. Several times he heard the sounds of activity in the corridor outside, metal doors slamming shut, once some shouting. But beyond a couple of momentary check-ups through the panel in the door and the arrival of WPC Brook with sweet, weak tea in a plastic cup, no one took any interest in him at all. It seemed that the Metropolitan Police Service was not used to suspects putting a large spoke in its little procedural wheel. It had all gone horribly wrong for the Met four long and lonely hours earlier, in Holly’s initial interview, following his arrest at home in the small hours. The fall guy had been the glotally challenged Detective Sergeant Kevin Boulder, seated across the table from him and the duty solicitor, a Miss Agarwal, in Interview Room 1. “An ‘ate crime,” Boulder had confidently begun in the approved ex cathedra sing-song of the local comp boy made plod, “is a crime that the victim or any uvver person perceives to be motivated by ‘ostility or prejudice towards any aspect of a person’s identity. In this case we are dealin’ wiv ‘ostility or prejudice based on a person’s race or perceived race. If the investigatin’ officer is satisfied that the offence took place as described by the victim ...” “Prakash Ghosh,” interjected Holly, plainly stating a fact he knew only too well. Miss Agarwal shifted in her seat. “I am unable to disclose the victim’s precise identity at interview under caution,” replied Boulder, “That information will only be supplied if, at the conclusion of this investigation, a formal charge is laid.” “But it was Ghosh,” Holly shot back, “You know it. I know it.”
Great to see Jez Turner, after his latest appearance in a British court, so energised and strong, ripping into the Jewish activist apparatus and the complicity of the British state which, together, seek to silence him and, through him, all of us. I reproduce below a lengthy comment from the YouTube thread. There is quite a bit that could be said about whether this whole affair was really necessary for all concerned, even for Messers Falter and Silberman - who of course, may win just by default, despite what looks from the outside like a perilously weak case. But now is not the time to do that. Now is the time to praise Jez and wish him success. If he does succeed and win his freedom it will be interesting to talk to him about the effects of that on our future speech, and we should certainly seek to do that. From the thread:
Previously at MR, regarding net neutrality.
Let’s stand with the legitimate government of SyriaThe position of Majorityrights.com is that we have always opposed the Alt-Right and we have always opposed the Presidency of Donald J. Trump. We have been harshly rejecting Donald Trump ever since the moment that he threw his hat into the ring during the GOP primaries, because the Trump phenomenon is a viciously Zionist phenomenon which only serves the apparent interests of the United States, Russia, and Israel. If you are reading this article, you doubtless are already aware of the events that transpired early this morning. The United States has unilaterally conducted an airstrike against a Syrian airbase. There are even rumours right now of a second airstrike being prepared. What we know so far:
This article does not intend to offer any information that is not already in the hands of other media organisations. Rather, I intend to start a conversation on what actions need to be explored by activists from a British perspective, in order to undermine American Zionist aggression in Syria. International armed conflictThe events that we’ve seen transpiring this morning have been deeply disturbing. According to the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), the situation in Syria now is officially “an international armed conflict”. “Any military operation by a state on the territory of another without the consent of the other amounts to an international armed conflict,” ICRC spokeswoman Iolanda Jaquemet has told Reuters in Geneva. “So according to available information – the US attack on Syrian military infrastructure – the situation amounts to an international armed conflict.” “It’s unclear how US air strikes will make civilians safer”, Lord Wood of Anfield, chair of the United Nations Association UK has said. In a blog post, Wood wrote: “Unilateral action without broad international backing through the UN, without a clear strategy for safeguarding civilians, and through military escalation risks further deepening and exacerbating an already protracted and horrific conflict, leaving civilians at greater, not lesser, risk of atrocities.” He added that by circumventing the UN “we reduce both legitimacy and effectiveness, as a course of action that does not have the broad support of regional powers and the international community, channelled through UN systems and processes, can have little chance of success in leading to a more stable Syria.” Whispers in the backchannelsAs far as anyone is aware of what backchannel communications have been taking place, the United States warned Russia of the attack before it took place. Additionally, Russia had signalled yesterday evening that it would not be willing to support the government of Syria under all circumstances. In other words, there are some circumstances under which Russia would undermine the interests of the Syrian government. This was an unsurprising admission, given that it was also Russia who opted to send Sergei Lavrov to barter with John Kerry to induce the Syrian government to surrender their chemical weapons deterrent in the first place. It is interesting that surrendering their chemical weapons deterrent into the hands of Russia, has not made the Syrian government’s position safer. Rather, it has increased the incentive for America to push for opportunistic aggression against Syria, under the pretext of seizing the very weapons which Syria has already ceased to be in possession of. It is also interesting to note that the ‘good’ relationship between the Trump administration and the Putin administration – which will probably broadly continue despite all the sternly enunciated words that are issuing forth from Russian officials today – has not led to the position of the Syrian government being any safer. In fact, it is precisely because the United States and the Russian Federation have been on good terms since Trump’s inauguration, that the probability of what has now transpired, happening, had increased. A scenario in which the United States and Russia arrive at an agreement in which both countries have their geostrategic interests met, is a scenario in which Russia would probably turn against Bashar Al-Assad. With Trump in office, the chances of such a scenario manifesting are actually increased, because Trump has not until today presented himself as an opponent of Russia on anything, to say the least. The chances of them being able to ‘do a deal’, is greater. Russia has specific interests in Syria which do not absolutely necessitate the survival of Bashar Al-Assad’s government. Hypothetically they could be guaranteed in another way. Vladimir Putin himself signalled this yesterday evening just before the American airstrikes took place, when Vladimir Putin’s spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said, “Unconditional support is not possible in this current world.” If the United States were to convincingly guarantee Russia’s specific interests on the Syrian territory – access to the warm-water port, a place in the pipeline consortium, a list of friendly future government figures – in some future arrangement mediated by Turkey, Qatar, UAE and Israel, via some backchannel communication, Russia might proceed to ‘take a deliberate dive to the mat’ diplomatically, and tacitly permit the United States to continue airstrikes against Syria. People will need to watch for signs of that horrendous scenario continuing to develop. British diplomacyOne of the central features of British diplomacy and British foreign policy, is ‘hypocrisy’. It is not done in a haphazard way, but rather, it is done with method and purpose. It has evolved over the centuries because Britain’s stated position on any given issue – particularly when it comes to the issue of geopoliticised alleged ‘human rights violations’ – is often the opposite of what its governing instiutions have actually resolved to do, or not do. Kerry Brown, the director of King’s College London’s Lau China Institute, once wryly referred to this behaviour as “the brilliant complexity of British hypocrisy”. And brilliant is precisely what it is. Today is no different. Boilerplate ‘agreement’ messages were offered by Sir Michael Fallon, presumably to stave off the American Communications Operators who would have tried to apply pressure to the British government. Giving them a statement of agreement means that there is nothing for the Americans to snappily quote and criticise in the social media domain. In actual reality, Britain is still bound by the non-intervention vote that was arrived at in parliament in 2013, and thus is not actually in ‘agreement’ with the United States. ITV’s Paul Brand reports:
That’s basically how it is. Standing against Islamic terrorKeeping British aircraft off the Syrian Arab Army’s back and away from its skies entirely, would give the Syrian Arab Army the space that is needed for them to keep fighting against outfits like ISIL, Tahrir Al-Sham, Ahrar Al-Sham, and all of the other Salafist-Jihadist outfits that are operating in Mesopotamia. Those Islamist outfits are the same reactionary outfits who are constantly seeking ways to send fighters to conduct terrorist attacks across Europe and Asia. It is better for all of us, that the Islamist reactionaries get killed in Syria at the hands of the Syrian Arab Army, than for them to be constantly free to organise terroristic actions across the world. Bashar Al-Assad is operating one of the world’s great ideological garbage disposal services. It’s called the Syrian Arab Army. It’s very progressive. The Syrian Arab Army destroys reactionaries and traditionalists, twenty-four hours a day, seven days a week, and it requires no payment for that service. I can’t think of a better deal than that. One of the best ways to stand against Islamism, is to let Bashar Al-Assad do what needs to be done, without intervening against him. What can you do to keep Britain safely out of this air-war?Britain is the most consequential and capable military actor in Western Europe. Britain’s non-participation in airstrikes, not only would ensure that Britain does not end up actively participating on the wrong side of a conflict that never should have happened, it would also have a dampening effect on America’s attempt to form the ‘coalition’ that Rex Tillerson has been talking about since last night. The question is, how can you become an active part of keeping British forces out of the air conflict? This is not exactly a difficult task, since it’s a case of simply reinforcing the status quo. The balance of forces in parliament simply needs to be maintained as it is, so that the deadlock on the issue is maintained. This means that people need to write to their MPs, comment on social media, talk to their union leaders, and – for those who have such access, even at the local government level – engage productively in conversations with key people and keep presenting to them all of the real downsides of what intervention in the Syrian conflict could cause. Make people aware that sentiments have not changed since 2013, and that no one wants to go to Syria to fight the Syrian Arab Army. The British public were interested in fighting against ISIL and against Tahrir Al-Sham. There is something to be strategically gained from that. There is nothing of any enduring value to Britain that can realistically be gained from fighting against the Syrian Arab Army. It may also be a good idea to generate a list of any MPs and councillors in potentially vulnerable seats. They should be reminded that the British people have long memories, and that if any of them tries to start a parliamentary insurgency against the non-interventionist result that emerged in 2013’s vote, they should expect to be tarred on social media as being ‘a craven ally of interventionist Trump’. The threat should be formulated in such a way that it makes clear that everything will be done to try to remove those persons from their seats at the next election, if they try to bring this to a vote again. In other words, people need to make appropriate use of the space which liberal-democracy has carved out. ConclusionThe Royal Air Force and the Royal Navy will not be participating in any airstrikes in Syria. Let’s do what we can to help ensure that it really stays that way. Kumiko Oumae works in the defence and security sector in the UK. Her opinions here are entirely her own.
“We all want a country that is fairer so that everyone has the chance to succeed. We all want a nation that is safe and secure for our children and grandchildren. We all want to live in a truly Global Britain that gets out and builds relationships with old friends and new allies around the world.” — Rt Hon Theresa May MP It’s happeningToday is really a day of vindication. Both the detractors on the Eurofederalist side, and the detractors on the disruptive Alt-Right ‘Big Europe’ Russophile side had said that this day would never come and that the United Kingdom would descend into either chaos on the one hand or compromise on the other. But to their manifest displeasure this day has indeed come. The United Kingdom has formally given the EU notification that it intends to leave the bloc. Sir Tim Barrow, UK ambassador to the EU, handed the written letter to European Council president Donald Tusk today. The moment that the letter was accepted, the notification to leave was triggered. The UK now has two years to negotiate an agreement with the 27 remaining EU countries over its future relationship with the bloc. Theresa May told the House of Commons: “This is an historic moment from which there can be no turning back.” She made the announcement as Article 50 was formally invoked when the letter Mrs May had signed was received by EU Council President Donald Tusk. She told MPs in the House of Commons this morning that she believes Britain’s “best days lie ahead”. The Prime Minister said she would work for the “best possible deal” for Britain after Article 50 was formally triggered. She added: “Now is the time for us to come together to be united across this House and across this country.” A statement issued by the European Council said the talks would start by focusing on arrangements for an “orderly withdrawal” from the bloc. The council, pledged to approach the talks constructively and hoped the UK would be a “close partner” after Brexit. “We regret that the United Kingdom will leave the European Union, but we are ready for the process that we now will have to follow. “Our first priority will be to minimise the uncertainty caused by the decision of the United Kingdom for our citizens, businesses and member states.” Who will our key negotiators be?Over the next two years the United Kingdom and the European Union will attempt to negotiate the details of a potential Brexit deal and shape the possible future of UK-European relations. The main negotiators for the United Kingdom will be: David Davis As the Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union, David Davis is responsible for the work of the Government’s Department for Exiting the European Union. This department is responsible for overseeing negotiations to leave the EU and establishing future relations between the UK and the bloc. Having been appointed to the role in July 2016, Mr Davis helped get the Article 50 Bill through Parliament, which allowed Theresa May to formally trigger Brexit earlier this month. The Haltemprice and Howden MP will now play a key role in delivering what Britain wants from negotiations. He will have to work closely with Parliament and the devolved powers across the UK to ensure the Brexit process is as smooth as possible. Sir Tim ‘Deepstate’ Barrow Sir Tim Barrow is Britain’s ambassador to the EU and assumes “overall responsibility” for the UK’s departure from the bloc. He took up the position in January, having replaced Sir Ivan Rogers. Sir Ivan Rogers had been induced to quit after he had committed the cardinal diplomatic sin of publicly criticising what he erroneously viewed as the Government’s “muddled thinking” over Brexit. As head of the UK’s permanent representation to the EU, it is now Sir Tim Barrow’s role to ensure Britain’s policies are explained to EU member states. Sir Tim Barrow’s 30-year political career has included two prior terms serving in Brussels, and he will represent the UK in weekly meetings at the European Council in Belgium. Today, he arrived in the Belgian capital to deliver Britain’s Article 50 letter, signed by Theresa May, to European Council president Donald Tusk. Sir Tim Barrow is more than prepared for the job that has been assigned to him. Having also been former ambassador to Moscow is something that has given him extensive experience dealing with completely insufferable 1990s-era Adidas tracksuit-wearing swinehounds, and this means that he is prepared for almost anything. Having seen the worst of continental European diplomats already, there is nothing that can now surprise or intimidate him. It has been said that Sir Tim Barrow “knows everyone and everything” and is very well respected and liked in the Foreign and Commonwealth Office. Sir Tim Barrow’s nickname in the Foreign Office is ‘Deepstate’, because he is so well embedded in diplomatic circles. Crucially, he has a very good relationship with Foreign and Commonwealth Secretary Boris Johnson. For those who understand the recent history of the Foreign and Commonwealth Office and the war of all against all that Boris Johnson has been inciting and waging both before and after his own appointment to that office, the fact that Barrow and Johnson are actually friends with each other is a very good sign. It means that there will be actual coordination and joined-up thinking going on. Oliver Robbins Oliver Robbins is the Permanent Secretary for the Department for Exiting the European Union and he will work closely with David Davis. Mr Robbins’ prime responsibility will be to support the department in the negotiations to leave the EU and help establish future relations. In his role, he will help the Government to examine its options for future relations outside the EU, with Europe, and the rest of the world, as well as responsibility for the wider European and Global Issues Secretariat. Mr Robbins is a seasoned civil servant. Article 50 letterThese are the key sections of the Prime Minister’s letter which seem to warrant the most scrutiny:
This is what is called colloquially, ‘swallowing the medicine in one gulp’. The acquis communautaire will be repatriated in full into the United Kingdom in one step. After that, it will then be possible for the British parliamentary system to begin to repeal or amend whatever elements of the repatriated acquis communautaire that they feel the need to. It also allows for a smoother exit because the elements of the body of law that do not need to be altered, can be kept in place in the exact way that they are written.
In that section, Theresa May is signalling that she intends to move the United Kingdom toward a more federal structure. This is particularly for maintaining stability, as it is known that there are both internal and external pressures that will be brought to bear to try to break up the United Kingdom in this time of both opportunity and vulnerability. To avert that possibility, offering greater federalism to the four nations of the United Kingdom will enable the central government to neutralise the soft middle in Scotland and in Northern Ireland. It also supplies a black-and-white text counter argument which can be waved in the face of outside news organisations, for example RT, who have since 2014 been trying to promote Scottish independence in the hopes that they can weaken London. Scottish independence is something that will never be allowed to succeed.
This is a key difference between her strategy and the strategy that had previously been taken by David Cameron. Cameron had made the crucial mistake of signalling that he wanted some kind of deal no matter what, and this emboldened the continental European negotiators on the other side of the table. Theresa May is making no such mistake. Her statement plays game theory correctly. Theresa May is signalling here that while she would not want to leave the negotiations without a deal, she is actually willing to do so. In fact, this, coupled with the last few months of ‘hard Brexit’ media coverage and her statements to the media which reinforced this, place her in a perfect position. The fact that very little is publicly known about what goes on in the inner space of her thoughts also makes it more difficult for continental European negotiators to know how to approach her. She is ‘difficult’, as all students of Geography are, and that is a good thing.
The United Kingdom is maintaining that it will not seek membership of the European single market, because to do so would be to accept ‘freedom of movement’, which the precise thing that Brexit is being initated to escape from.
The mention of ‘third countries around the world’ appears in the letter, and is a reference to what Theresa May called ‘the fastest growing export markets’, in her House of Commons statement. House of Commons statementThe most salient elements of Theresa May’s House of Commons statement I would submit are the following:
The ‘fastest growing export markets in the world’ are ASEAN+3 and SAARC in Asia, and the Pacific Alliance in Central and South America.
This is a prelude of things to come. It means that what Theresa May is doing is flipping the script on the continental Europeans. Any hesitancy on their part to reach agreement during the economic element of the negotiations will be cast by the United Kingdom as “the European Union backsliding and regressing into protectionism.” It’s a good way to approach it, and it will be infuriating to the continental Europeans. Extra infuriation can be added by comparing the continental Europeans unfavourably to any of the non-European countries which the United Kingdom will also be trying to negotiate trade deals with. That kind of talking point would take the form of “This other random country here is so eager to uphold the liberal free trade order which has prevailed since the mid-1970s, why aren’t you as agreeable as they are? Just do what we want you to do!”
We’ve all been waiting for this moment for so long. Theresa May has always been by our side. She’ll make it come true, like she always does. Kumiko Oumae works in the defence and security sector in the UK. Her opinions here are entirely her own.
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