The coming battle over the meaning of Brexit.

Posted by Kumiko Oumae on Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:58.

Modernist cutaway.

In the environment of Brexit as it presently exists, there are very few things which can be said as a certainty. Any real analysis of events really is going to begin after markets open on Monday morning, once political actors find themselves at work trying to figure out how to guide the UK’s ship of state forward.

One thing which can already be seen however, is the budding counter-narrative which those who are in favour of continuing the EU’s mass migration trend inside of the remaining 27 member states of Europe, are going to make up.

But before I present the counter-narrative which they are going to make up, I should first present what the actual reality is.

The presently existing and frankly obvious reality is that Brexit was largely a consequence of:

The pro-migration decisions made by the European Commission and the Council of the European Union, along with specific leaders such as Angela Merkel and Stefan Löfven.

The stances of the US State Department and the UK FCO during the 2011 - 2013 period which created the perfect storm of conflict which opened up routes for a whole wave of rapid migration from the Middle East and North Africa to enter the European Union.

The policies adopted by the ECB which exacerbated the 2008 crisis, prolonging it in the South of Europe and left much of South Eastern Europe in a state of underdevelopment, making the European Union one of the worst economic performers in the world in the post-2008 environment.

David Cameron’s attempt to renegotiate the terms of UK membership of the European Union so as to placate the concerns of the British public and dis-incentivise a ‘Leave’ result, were handled incompetently by the Commission and the Council, because they seemed to think that Cameron was trying to troll them, when in fact what Cameron was trying to do was help the Commission to help itself. Statements from Jean-Claude Juncker and Angela Merkel hotly asserting that the agreement made with David Cameron was ‘non-binding’ in front of the whole world, were a classic case of the Commission’s incompetence as a political player, and Merkel’s actual stupidity.

The pro-European faction of the British bourgeoisie could not contain the populist response to these developments, and so incapable were they of containing it that one rival faction of the British bourgeoisie began to believe that charting a course outside of the EU was better for their own interests as well as the country as a whole. That rival faction correctly surmised that harnessing the populist response could take them to that place. This is what led to the creation of a ‘Leave campaign’, led by a collection of prominent Tories implicitly in alignment with a small segment of the Labour Party (Labour Leave), and UKIP. This faction of the British bourgeoisie expertly and valiantly exploited the situation as it was unfolding, to guide the British people toward a Leave vote, which enabled that faction to claim a mandate to de-pool the UK’s sovereignty out of the EU and exit the bloc entirely.

The above observations—also known as ‘the facts of reality’—are unacceptable to the European establishment on the continent, because the implications of this mean that they would see increased calls for them to stop doing what they are presently doing or else risk the total dissolution of the European Union as the same pattern could potentially emerge in other member states.

The European Union’s leaders really don’t want to sacrifice their mass migration agenda or their austerity agenda in order to save the union itself. They want to have their cake and eat it, and the only way they can do that is to try to convince the broad mass of the European population that the root problem is somehow actually the opposite of what it really is.

So instead, everyone will be told that somehow the reason for Brexit is because the EU itself somehow stoked ‘Islamophobic tendencies’ by implicitly approving of them—astonishingly—because it somehow didn’t prostrate itself to the needs and concerns of Turks as well as Arabs and North Africans quite enough for their liking, and that by not prostrating itself it somehow gave the signal that it was okay to not prostrate oneself, which somehow led to Brexit.

Sounds impossible? Oh, it’s possible. Indeed, they would have to have some real gall to try to flip the script at this stage in the game, yet they are going to try it, and Erdogan is leading the way as the first one to attempt it this absurdity:

Daily Sabah, ‘Erdogan: EU’s reluctance to accept Turkey has Islamophobic motives’, 24 Jun 2016 (emphasis added):

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said the European Union is reluctant to accept Turkey as a full member due to its Islamophobic motives.

Speaking at an iftar dinner in Istanbul on Friday, Erdogan said “The EU’s double standard policy towards Turkey has become an undeniable fact,”

Touching upon the referendum held on June 23 in the United Kingdom to decide whether or not to stay in the EU, he said that the Britons’ decision to leave the union will mark a new era for the EU.

Erdogan further added that the EU is likely to face more exits in short term if it “continues on the same path.”

U.K. voters opted to leave the EU in a historic referendum on Thursday, sparking worries across European capitals over the political future of the bloc.

Almost 52 percent of voters rejected their country’s 43-year EU membership.

Erdogan stressed that Turkey has always given its due importance to the acceleration of Turkey’s EU membership bid but the bloc has always been delaying the process.

“Double standards are no longer hidden. They have put more obstacles on Turkey’s path. They have been keeping Turkey waiting at their door for 53 years.”

During his speech, Erdogan also criticized EU’s asylum procedures.

“The EU bloc’s bad humanitarian and immoral approach to immigrants has led to a serious debate about the trustworthiness of the European Union,” he said.

The EU and Turkey signed a refugee deal on March 18, which aimed to discourage irregular migration through the Aegean Sea by taking stricter measures against human traffickers and improving the conditions of nearly 3 million Syrian refugees in Turkey.

The deal also allows for the acceleration of Turkey’s EU membership bid and visa-free travel for Turkish nationals within the Schengen area, on the condition that Ankara meets 72 requirements set by the EU.

Although Turkey fulfilled most of the criteria last month, differences between Brussels and Ankara on anti-terror legislation have forestalled the visa-liberalization deal.

Turkey began its EU accession talks in 2005. In 1963, Turkey and the European Economic Community (the EU’s former name) signed an association agreement.

Welcome to topsy-turvy land. In coming weeks I can almost guarantee that the political figures in Europe will begin partially echoing Erdogan’s sentiments, and Europeans will be told that the only way to avoid future ‘exits’ is for people like Merkel and Löfven to show even more ‘leadership by example’, so that ‘love can triumph over hatred’.

Achieving Frexit, Nexit, Czechxit, Polexit, and every other kind of exit, becomes increasingly more likely as the European leadership increasingly proves itself to be mentally retarded. Now that Brexit has actually succeeded, I’m perfectly happy to nihilistically contribute to propagating the narrative that ends the whole EU and gives space for something stronger and better to rise in its wake.

The strong shall live and the weak shall die. This applies to people, but also to institutions. The first word in the term ‘European Union’ is ‘European’, and if the European Union can no longer coherently act as the economic arm of Europe’s defence in complement to NATO, then the European Union shouldn’t exist. It’s obvious. If the EU leadership couldn’t handle a simple problem like the migration crisis and its political fallout, and if it couldn’t even see off challenges from diverse opportunists like Boris Johnson, Michael Gove, Gisela Stuart, Nigel Farage, Priti Patel, Liam Fox, Andrea Leadsom, Iain Duncan Smith and Lord Ashcroft, then frankly the EU does not deserve to exist as a structure.

The flag of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland is the symbol of the strongest political power in Europe, and those who want strength gather around it.

Kumiko Oumae works in the defence and security sector in the UK. Her opinions here are entirely her own.

Tags: Activism, British Politics, Business & Industry, Demographics, Ethnicity and Ethnic Genetic Interests, European Nationalism, European Union, Immigration and Politics, Islam & Islamification, Liberalism, Military Matters, Political analysis, World Affairs

Comments:

Posted by Guessedworker on Sun, 26 Jun 2016 23:35 | #

There seem to be at least five battles raging or about to rage over Brexit: one long-term one with with the institutions of the EU and the governments of the member states, one short-term one with the forces of Remain (which can probably be ignored and will just go away), one with the Westminster majority for Remain (which, in the Commons and the Lords, will almost certainly attempt to defeat political moves towards Brexit), one within the Tory Party for Downing Street, and one within the Leave organisation. The latter is the most immediate and serious problem. Moves have been made by Matthew Cummings to exclude Farage from all further activity, and today Boris Johnson announced that he did not believe that the public’s main motivation for voting to Leave was immigration. That is code for accepting continued free movement, which is code for continuing to run a GDP-based economic strategy made possibly only by mass immigration.

Violence is already being done to the spirit of the revolution.

Posted by Kumiko Oumae on Mon, 27 Jun 2016 11:22 | #

I agree with your outlook there. The present task I think is therefore to prevent Boris Johnson from becoming the uncontested leader of a ‘Brexit government’. One of the others will have to be chosen, otherwise something ridiculous will happen.

I could imagine Boris Johnson actually turning around and signing the UK back up to freedom of movement with the EU, if he is allowed to actually lead negotiations and if he becomes the next prime minister. If he were able to do that, it’d defeat most of the utility of having had this referendum.

Posted by anon on Mon, 27 Jun 2016 15:45 | #

Yes, there’ll be a massive campaign to prevent it actually happening and by people with almost all the power however the shock effect of “no” has already been heard around the world and will have an effect.

Posted by PM on Mon, 27 Jun 2016 17:49 | #

“Violence is already being done to the spirit of the revolution”

There will soon be a by-election in Batley and Spen which will contain only two candidates—Labour and Liberty GB. I’m assuming Brexit got a high vote here as elsewhere in Yorkshire. Perhaps LibertyGB, who are unknown but after all the only other candidate, could turn this into a ‘Brexit 2’ vote for those who feel their victory is being stolen?

There is of course also have the local issue concerning the grooming gangs. In these times of political upheaval is it too much to hope that LibertyGB could pull something off in Batley and Spen?

Posted by Guessedworker on Mon, 27 Jun 2016 21:43 | #

PM,

The local authority is Kirklees, and the vote was 55/45 for Leave. But that doesn’t hold any lesson for the by-election, which will surely be an overwhelming “vote for Jo” ... unless the local Labour Party does the multiculti thing and selects a Muslim, in which case it might only be a whelming vote for Jo, or whatever.

Posted by Kevin on Mon, 27 Jun 2016 23:44 | #

This picture sums up the current English situation:

Posted by and on Tue, 28 Jun 2016 04:02 | #

You forgot this -

...and this:

Iceland defeats England 2 -1 (wtf)

Posted by DanielS on Tue, 28 Jun 2016 09:00 | #

This is a brilliant post by Kumiko: focusing attention exactly where it needs to be now - on Turkey and the rhetorical memes that they will try to promulgate in order to visit their further destruction upon Europe.

Posted by PM on Wed, 29 Jun 2016 16:56 | #

“But that doesn’t hold any lesson for the by-election, which will surely be an overwhelming “vote for Jo”

Well, they presented the referendum as a ‘vote for Jo’ too. But plenty ignored it nationally and I bet plenty ignored it locally as well. In my mostly white-working class circles I’ve not been aware of much sentimentality over the death of Jo Cox. And if the trial reveals that he is mentally ill rather than Eurosceptic any such emotions would be nullified, or even replaced with anger at her death being used to manipulate them.

White working class Labour voters have effectively just voted against their own party lines and on the same side as middle-England Tories in a campaign lead by an Old Etonian. They can also see their party imploding on television, and may conclude that this is because Corbyn is too left wing or too anti-EU for the PLP. I’m sure you have read Polly Toynbee describing her experience of canvassing Labour voters in the Midlands. A little like Scotland and England, Polly and poor white Labour voters are not living in the same mental space (nor physical, of course) and all that’s lacking is to make the separation a formality. If the Labour party was to stand a Muslim candidate that’s all to the good. At some point a reluctant, apathetic rump of Labour voters will no longer be able to ignore the fact that the seat is being won by the Asian vote. You don’t need to be a psephologist to work out that that when your vote (or latent power, I suppose) is not needed your interests will not be met.

Perhaps the white working class Labour vote is up for grabs right now? Nationalist parties that stand against them should be hammering home the message that ‘this is not your party any more.’

Posted by DanielS on Wed, 29 Jun 2016 18:27 | #

Indeed, we should make it clear to them that we have their side.

Posted by Guessedworker on Thu, 30 Jun 2016 03:32 | #

The decision to run a candidate at Batley & Spen, from Liberty GB’s website:

http://www.libertygb.org.uk/news/batley-and-spen-election-liberty-gb-can-strike-blow-freedom

Posted by PM on Thu, 30 Jun 2016 22:16 | #

Now I’ve read that I feel like I know less about why Liberty GB are standing than I did before, to be honest. The video by Paul Weston was a little more elucidating, although I’d prefer to see their campaign broaden from being about ‘democracy’ to being about the sort of changes they are hoping democracy could bring. Still, I remember Paul Weston used to comment quite a bit on Lawrence Auster’s blog and he struck me as genuine and thoughtful so there’s still some hope that he plans something more. I guess I’ll have to find out whether you are correct, GW. You have a far greater store of political acumen than I, so I wouldn’t bet against you, yet I still persevere in my belief that this is an opportunity that it would be a shame for Nationalists to ignore. Liberty GB have been commendably opportunistic in standing a candidate right in the spotlight for an election where they can’t be crowded out, and all at a time of political flux with the scent of insurrection still in the air. I wish them well.

Posted by PM on Fri, 01 Jul 2016 16:04 | #

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-36681475

The Austrian presidential election to be run again after voting irregularities discovered. I don’t think there could be a much bigger story after Brexit, and it compliments the Brexit story very well. Both have exposed the anti-democratic trajectory of the left for one. Hopefully Hofer will win this election but it will certainly increase cynicism of voters towards the elites.

Posted by 12 million more migrants expected in UK unless on Fri, 30 Dec 2016 09:05 | #

Express, “BREXIT WARNING: 12 MILLION more migrants to arrive in UK in 25 years without hard Brexit”, 29 Dec 2016:

MASS immigration will continue at “unacceptable” levels for at least the next two decades unless Britain makes a full break with Brussels, a report predicted last night.

Figures showed that annual net migration to the UK from EU countries would be unlikely to fall below 155,000 in the “medium term” if the country stays in the EU’s Single Market.

And the Government’s ability to reduce the influx will be “extremely limited” as long as the EU’s free movement rules remain in force.

The disturbing forecast of near-record levels of migration for years ahead was set out in a report from the population think tank Migration Watch. It was being seen last night as a devastating blow to campaigners for a so-called “soft Brexit” that retain the UK’s full Single Market membership.

[...]

“An increase of anything like 12 million in just 25 years is, quite simply, unacceptable to the British public and certainly not what they voted for in the referendum.”

Tory MP Philip Hollobone said: “Migration Watch’s forecasts have always been thoroughly reliable and are the best we are going to get from anyone.

[...]

“The picture they paint is completely unacceptable.

“We simply can’t stay in the Single Market if it means we are going to get that sort of level of immigration.

“Above all, people voted in the referendum for a change in our approach to immigration.”

[...]

“Total net immigration will add 12 million people to the population in just 25 years, more than the equivalent of the entire current populations of Bulgaria and New Zealand.”

He added: “Theresa May needs to set out in no uncertain terms that when the UK leaves the EU it will also cease to be a member of the Single Market.

Posted by SERG on Tue, 25 Apr 2017 23:00 | #

Will Brexit halt mass Third World immigration? Will Brexit halt the promotion of the “LGBT” mental illness? Will Brexit undo the fundamental flaws of the banking and financial systems? Will Brexit halt the decline of the manufacturing industry? Will Brexit really “save” Britain?

The answer to all of these questions is, of course, no. The reality is that mass Third World immigration—which has destroyed almost all the large inner city areas of the UK, created Islamic no-go zones, and spurred on internal terrorism—are all policies which have been pursued by successive British governments, and not the European Union.

The promotion of the “LGBT” insanity and the wilful destruction of traditional family values through the promotion of homosexual marriage, was started by the “Conservative” Party, independently of the European Union.

The destruction of Britain’s manufacturing industry—and the wholesale exporting of the UK’s industrial processes to China—happened outside of the European Union.

Many other examples of policies which have—and still do—seriously damage Britain can be given. For example, the UK’s “foreign aid” budget—which next year will exceed the local government budget—has nothing to do with the European Union.

The reality is that every single major issue which is leading to the destruction of Britain, is completely independent of, and separate from whatever economic dictates are imposed upon the UK by the European Union.

Even the much-vaunted “EU immigration”—used by the “leave” camp ad infinitum—is, for the greatest part, European in origin.

In fact, all of the ills mentioned above—and many more—inflict many nations already outside of the EU. Canada is possibly the best example—a veritable lunatic asylum of political correctness devoted exclusively to destroying every last vestige of Western civilization—and the same thing is happening in the United States of America, to a very large degree.

There is no direct causal link to what many British people seem to perceive as the “ills of the EU” and the European Union as an institution, and it is a seriously mistaken delusion to think that Brexit is going to make all of these problems disappear.

Posted by Guessedworker on Wed, 26 Apr 2017 03:26 | #

I agree with you, SERG. However, the EU represents the drive to create a multi-ethnic state from Europe’s ancient states which would then incorporate the non-European nations of the near east and North Africa:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Union_for_the_Mediterranean

... as a stepping stone to yet further national incorporation and, finally, the combination of similar blocs elsewhere. Verhofstadt actually said in the European Parliament that the end-process is the creation of world government but, of course, “nobody is supposed to talk about that”. Timmermans has stated that diversity is the future of every corner of the planet. Nowhere will mono-ethnic states exist:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q94syUDDhxA

So we should not under-estimate Brussel’s intent for Europe’s nations and peoples, and for all nations and peoples, actually. Rather, the EU and its steroidal political internationalism must be killed off. The vote for the British nation state, British borders, and British democracy was only an opening blow in that battle.

It is also not at all without implications for a paradigmatic shift in national identity and feeling, particularly in England, which itself will have profound long-term effects. One of those must be to start in this country the long-overdue, informed debate about debt economics sustained by using the Third World ingress to expand GDP (which is what’s left of the “official” requirement for mass immigration when globalism’s interest in breaking the bond between blood and land is itself broken).