Angela Merkel, Prime Signatory of Europe’s Death Warrant.

Posted by Kumiko Oumae on Tuesday, 20 October 2015 10:10.

Merkel and Erdogan on golden thrones
Dutch TV subtitle: “The European Union and Turkey together will accelerate Turkey’s accession.”

Even the title of this article does not do enough to convey the scale of the stunningly disingenuous ‘negotiation’ that Angela Merkel engaged in on Sunday. It was not a negotiation, it was Merkel just taking Europe’s queen piece and both rook pieces off of the chessboard and tossing them through the window as Turkish mouths widened in grotesque delight.

As is well known, many of the migrants that are flowing into Europe at Angela Merkel’s own invitation—and because of the perverse incentives created by governments like Germany and Sweden—make their transit through Turkey before arriving in Europe. At the same time, Merkel has been facing an internal party revolt as various opportunists are taking the crisis as a chance to challenge her leadership. Some others are revolting against her because the number of migrants that their regions are being asked to accept are more than their infrastructure can ever hope to efficiently handle.

Under these pressures—particularly the pressure arising from the fact that Merkel’s concept of ‘no upper ceiling to migration’ was bound to clash with material constraints eventually—Merkel then found herself thrust into a negotiation with Turkey. The European Union had attempted to bribe Turkey with 3 billion euros, but the Turks decided that it was not enough.

So Merkel went to Turkey and offered them a faster track toward EU accession and visa-free travel, in addition to the bribe that had been previously offered.

Predictably, Erdogan and Davutoglu immediately decided to retract their side of the pseudo-informal ‘agreement’ as soon as Merkel went home. They have clarified that they actually made no promises to stop the migrants within their territory from travelling into Europe, ultimately. In fact, they have no intention of doing anything to stop the migration wave itself either:

DW, ‘Turkey demands additional EU funding to address migration’, 19 Oct 2015:

Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said that an agreed sum of 3 billion euros ($3.4 billion) in return for Turkey’s cooperation in stemming the flow of migrants in Europe would not be regarded as sufficient.

Speaking on Turkish television one day after German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s visit to Istanbul on Sunday, Davutoglu said that the money would come from the “IPA” fund - money already earmarked for Turkey as an EU membership candidate . He said that Turkey wanted additional cash.

The 3 billion euro IPA fund proposal is no longer on the table, as we have said we will not accept it,” Davutoglu said. “As for fresh resources, we’re talking about a 3 billion euro amount in the first stage. But we don’t want to fixate on this because the requirements may go up, and the assessment for this would need to be done annually.”

Tit-for-tat diplomacy

German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Sunday offered Turkey the prospect of support for faster progress on its bid to join the European Union as well as an accelerated path to visa-free travel for Turks. This followed the summit in Brussels last week where EU leaders had agreed on a migration “action plan” with Turkey, where the figure of 3 billion euros ($3.4 billion) had been discussed.

Chancellor Merkel on Sunday had hailed as “very promising” progress on an EU-driven “action plan” after talks in Istanbul with Davutoglu and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Both Turkish President Erdogan and Davutoglu, whose ruling AK Party faces a general election on November 1, appeared keen to avoid any impression of weakness in dealing with European nations. They said earlier the EU had only recently realised Turkey’s value in the crisis.

Davutoglu: Turkey ‘not a concentration camp’

Prime Minister Davutoglu caused further controversy on Monday, saying that his country was “not a concentration camp” and that it would not host migrants permanently to appease the EU.

“I said this to Merkel too. No one should expect Turkey to turn into a concentration camp where all the refugees stay in,” Davutoglu said.

The talks had however resulted in a “positive response” to the government’s request for visa liberalization, he said.

His comments came as the flow of people along the so-called “Balkan Route” into Europe via Turkey continued, with thousands of people streaming Monday into the Balkans, where tighter border controls forced people to sleep in freezing temperatures. More than 630,000 people have landed on Europe’s shores so far this year, most of them making risky sea crossings from Turkey to Greece.

ss/msh (Reuters, AFP)

All of those events were actually absolutely unnecessary from a straight power perspective. Why? Because, while Turkish politicians have a lot of bluster, and while they can deploy the threat of unleashing the migrants, the Turks were nevertheless negotiating from an extremely weak position.

Despite having had historical cultural connections to the regional groups to their west, south, south-east and east, Turkey has spent the past 20 years burning all of its bridges in all directions. In summary—and it is definitely a summary—Turkey’s position looks like this:

Turkey is not some shrewd player. It’s one of the most clownish and absurd players in the world at the moment, and although it has experienced some significant economic growth internally, its foreign policy is a complete shambles and it is nowhere near to being a serious world power.

Should we really believe that Merkel is so stupid that she could not find anything to use to twist the arms of the Turks? The Turks should never have been in a position to be the ones making any demands there.

Any European negotiator who wanted to really play the game the tough way could have given a variety of responses that could twist the arms of the Turks based on the above facts, such as:

  • “Do you understand the situation you’re in? How about we just don’t talk to you about EU accession ever again, until you remove the remnants of the Turkish Army from Cyprus?”

  • “Do you understand the situation you’re in? How about we cancel all the NATO events that are on the calendar concerning Turkey?”

  • “Do you understand the situation you’re in? How about we continue using the National Endowment for Democracy to assist your domestic political opponents so that they can erode your electoral powerbase and replace you with someone who will run Turkey in the way that we want?”

  • “Do you understand the situation you’re in? How about we just ignore you and hedge against you demographically on a 30 year time frame, cultivating links with Kurds in the eastern part of your country so that we can encourage them to defy Ankara later and block you from having political control over a large section of your domestic energy resource base?”

  • “Do you understand the situation you’re in? How about we just misplace boxes full of weapons and ammunition into the hands of the PKK? I’m sure you remember what that was like for you the last time we did that. In fact, since the PKK does so much independent illegal fundraising inside European countries, we could just stop policing them at all and see how you like that?”

  • “Do you understand the situation you’re in? How about we just close the border between Turkey and the European Union, and build a giant fence surmounted by barbed wire and security cameras? The amount that it costs to take care of the migrants for a week is probably the same amount as it costs to build the fence.”

Those kind of responses from a European negotiator, would have been the correct signalling and would have likely produced a much more satisfactory response from Turkey.

Rather than doing anything like that, Merkel instead went in and sat down on a golden throne next to Erdogan, and followed the exact choreography that the architects of Erdogan’s election campaign wanted her to follow. She let Erdogan—a man who literally has been implicated in electoral fraud multiple times and is presiding over a ramshackle failure of a foreign policy—look strong, let him look competent, let him look like he was in charge, and gave him absolutely everything he wanted, absolutely for free.

No one is that absurdly fucking stupid by accident. Merkel had to have been doing that on purpose. That is the only reasonable conclusion that can be reached. It really is.

Furthermore, whose idea was it to send Merkel—a person who actually wanted the migrants to enter Europe in the first place—to have a negotiation with Turkey to try to keep the migrants out of Europe? I would love to know who was responsible for that absolutely stupid idea. Who on earth in their right mind would send Merkel to negotiate for the defence of Europe’s borders while knowing about all the pro-migration actions that she had engaged in prior to that?

Kumiko Oumae works in the defence and security sector in the UK. Her opinions here are entirely her own.


Comments:


1

Posted by Ryan on Tue, 20 Oct 2015 21:05 | #

I think the move was an attempt to placate Germans and those within her party by appearing to be taking action in the bigger scheme of things. If she had tried to placate voters by back tracking on government policy or less pro-immigration soundbites then that would give legitimacy to German Patriots.

I see no geo-politics involved in this meeting. For Merkel it was a short term PR oppurtunity, likely recommended by her advisers, while for the bumbiling Turks it was a nice oppurtunity for concessions and to present Mr Erdogan as a powerful statesman. Merkel’s poor performance was because she likely did not know why she was there or had perpared for the meeting.


2

Posted by Kumiko Oumae on Wed, 21 Oct 2015 02:43 | #

Ryan, I agree with you that Merkel basically was approaching all of this as a PR opportunity and some domestic political manoeuvring for herself, and that this is why it contained essentially no actual negotiating. It’s like political chaff, in the sense that in the eyes of some people it will create a kind of uncertainty as to whether she’s moving forward or whether she’s backtracking, and she can use that to her advantage while not actually adjusting her position at all.


3

Posted by Dude on Fri, 23 Oct 2015 21:28 | #

Who is Merkel? https://www.facebook.com/groups/719177651461915/permalink/982628451783499/


4

Posted by Lozen on Sat, 24 Oct 2015 04:12 | #

Putin, ROFL.


5

Posted by Frank on Wed, 18 Nov 2015 00:00 | #

GREAT WEBSITE, BUT WHY NAKED WHITE WOMEN IN THE TOP LEFT PIC?

Thank you for the great website.  But if I may make a small suggestion, it is about the picture on the top left corner which shows naked white women.

Maybe the picture has some historical significance, but since your website is available from all over the world, and most people are black and brown, this picture of naked white women would entice them, fill them with desire and lust which would lead to seduce, attack white women or invade our country.  Maybe you don’t think that way, but many black and brown people do.

What about a picture of a building or men?

Just a friendly suggestion.


6

Posted by Merkel confirms 3bl euro for Turkey on migrants on Mon, 30 Nov 2015 07:09 | #

Reuters, ‘Merkel confirms 3 bln euro deal with Turkey on migrants’, 29 November 2015:

BRUSSELS, Nov 29 (Reuters) - German Chancellor Angela Merkel confirmed after an EU-Turkey summit on Sunday that the European Union has offered Ankara three billion euros to help Syrian refugees in Turkey in return for Turkish help in stemming migrant flows.

She also confirmed that the EU would open Chapter 17 of Turkey’s accession negotiations with Turkey this year and would speed up visa-free travel for Turks if existing conditions are met.

Merkel said a meeting she held with some other EU leaders in the hours before the Brussels summit had discussed resettling some Syrian refugees from Turkey directly to their countries but no figures had been discussed.

 


7

Posted by Kumiko Oumae on Mon, 30 Nov 2015 10:43 | #

Frank, the image in question is a painting of the birth of Venus. It does have historical and ideological meaning, but the decision for the use of that particular painting was made before my time, and so it was never my call to make as to what image would be there.

When I was doing the site re-design in July 2015, that image was already in use, and I suggested a change as well, since I wanted to depict Venus symbolically as ‘a star’ instead, but not for the reason you suggested. I just like to see straight lines on the page, so that was the reason for my suggestion: symbols over illustrations. But I was told not to change that element to a symbol, since the use of the actual painting has meaning which my predecessors put great thought into. So I simply left it that way out of deference to them.

Your reason for suggesting a change is one that I don’t like anyway though, since it seems to imply that the Europeans should be afraid to excite the Arabs and the Africans or something. They’ll be excited no matter what you do, so concerns about the apparent beauty of white women are probably the worst possible reason for suggesting a change.


8

Posted by Mick Lately on Thu, 10 Dec 2015 11:36 | #

“Time Magazine has named German Chancellor Angela Merkel as its “Person of the Year”.”

Source: BBC (Brainwashed By Chosen):
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-35048796


9

Posted by Kumiko Oumae on Thu, 10 Dec 2015 17:12 | #

And the runner-up was Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi. In some perverse way that makes sense, given that the two seem to have exactly the same plan for Europe.


10

Posted by EU Suicide Cult adds Visa Free Turks on Wed, 16 Dec 2015 00:57 | #

Express, ‘FOLLY: Europe will cease to exist once Turkey comes to dominate EU, blasts McKinstry’, 3 Dec 2015:

THE leadership of the European Union increasingly resembles a suicide cult.

By wilfully opening the floodgates the EU’s selfdestructive politicians, headed by German Chancellor Angela Merkel, have created an immigration crisis on an unprecedented scale.

As the chaos worsens, the very existence of European civilisation is under threat. But just to accelerate its destruction, the EU has engaged in an act of even more spectacular folly.

Desperate to give the illusion of tackling the disaster they made, Merkel and her gang have now concluded an agreement with Turkey that will inflict even more misery on Europe.

Under the deal signed on Sunday the EU will hand over £2.1billion to Turkey and allow Turkish citizens visa-free travel across most of the continent. Britain’s contribution, eagerly agreed by David Cameron, amounts to £260million.

In return Turkish President Recep Erdogan has promised to strengthen his borders, thereby supposedly reducing the huge flow of migrants and refugees from Turkey into Europe.

This accord is the precursor to the even more radical step of granting full EU membership to Turkey. Never mind that Turkey is not even geographically in Europe, since just three per cent of its land mass lies to the European side of the Bosphorus Straits.

Such basic considerations do not even cross the minds of EU politicians. But for the future of Europe, Turkey’s accession will be the stuff of nightmares. We, the taxpaying public, are literally being forced to pay for our own demise.


11

Posted by 9 Germans killed in Istanbul on Wed, 13 Jan 2016 03:53 | #

The Guardian, ‘Istanbul blast: nine of the 10 killed were German, reports claim’- as it happened, 12 Jan 2016:

  Istanbul governor says 10 people killed and 15 wounded

  Bomber reportedly identified from body parts as Syrian born in 1988


Turkey’s president Erdoğan has blamed a suicide bomber who entered the country through Syria for an attack on a tourist site in Istanbul that killed 10 people and left another 15 wounded.

Nine of the victims were German according to Turkish officials. In a telephone call Prime minster Ahmet Davutoğlu told the German Chancellor Angela Merkel that most of the victims were German.

One victim was Peruvian, foreign minister Ana María Sánchez told reporters, though she said the man had not yet been identified. She also said a Peruvian woman was wounded in the attack but in stable condition.

Merkel said she was very concerned that German citizens were “probably” be among the victims. “International terrorism is once again showing its cruel and inhuman face,” she said.

       

680 News, ‘Suicide bomber detonates bomb in Istanbul, killing at least 10, mostly German tourists’, 12 Jan 2016:

ISTANBUL – A suicide bomber detonated a bomb in the heart of Istanbul’s historic district on Tuesday, killing 10 foreigners — most of them German tourists — and wounding 15 other people in the latest in a string of attacks by the Islamic extremists targeting Westerners.

The blast, just steps from the historic Blue Mosque - former Byzantine church in the city’s storied Sultanahmet district - the first by IS to target Turkey’s vital tourism sector, though IS militants have struck with deadly effect elsewhere in the country.


12

Posted by Moroccan deported 10 times on Thu, 18 Feb 2016 21:39 | #

Moroccan deported 10 times

The ongoing insanity of Angela Merkel’s “open borders” policy has been demonstrated once again with the news that a Moroccan drug dealer has been deported from Germany no less than ten times at a cost of €70,000—but he keeps coming back because there is nothing stopping him from re-entering the country.

             
It must have been hard for border control to discern that he’s not one of us


13

Posted by Merkel's Turkey deal unravels on Wed, 18 May 2016 09:44 | #

TNO, “EU-Turkey Deal Unravels”, 17 May 2016:

Angela Merkel’s grand “EU-Turkey Deal” has started to unravel over Turkey’s refusal to meet the basic demands for anti-terrorism laws as requested by Brussels.

Turkey has now threatened to open the gates for the millions of invaders in that country to once again cross into Europe if their demands are not met.



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