Marine Le Pen on BBC’s Hard Talk

The details hardly matter any more.  The life lost this time is that of a Parisian traffic policeman.  Two others seriously wounded.  These and the others in Paris and in London, Nice, Berlin, Brussels, Glasgow, Madrid, St Petersburg, Stockholm ... are robbed by their death or by their suffering not only of the simple, righteous expectation of a quiet and well-lived life but of their particularity.  They become mere victims of this troubling, hating thing “Islamic terror”.  They are not nameless exactly, but it is their victimhood not their name which matters now.  Their histories, their pictures, the pictures of their wives and children, the crowds and candles and flowers placed at the scene, the flag-draped coffins ... all this becomes an object of the national memory, elided into one by its sheer repetition, packed away, yes, as a burning moral cause, but one building up so slowly, awaiting the day so patiently, that day may never come.

That is why the political Establishment can continue to react quite differently to the mass of the people as each outrage washes over their consciousness.  The ritual condemnation is there, of course.  It has to be.  The masses look to politicians for that.  But the politicians’ obsession with the non-white immigrant and his religious attachments survives.  The priests’ too.  And not only that, it takes precedence over everything else.  The Race Project ... the drive for The Globality on Europe’s soil ... must go on, whatever the cost.  After all, the masses have short memories and really no understanding at all of how things are, have to be, and will always be.  For them.  So it’s perfectly safe to tell them that the perpetrators are “lone wolves”, or that they have psychological problems.  Tell them none of this is about Islam.  Tell them it is the religion of peace.  It doesn’t matter whether anyone really believes it.  Just tell them.  Tell them something like “the terrorists will never divide us”.  And never forget you can hit the “white extremism” button whenever the utterly obvious, inconvenient truth just can’t be avoided any longer.  It’s impossible to smear too much shit and lies in their face.  They are the enemy and that’s what they get for being stupid and racist.  That’s what they get for trusting us.  So they deserve it.  Actually, it’s a joke .... a real joke ... how easy it is to control them ... fill them with guilt ... fill them with hate ... fill them with fear ... herd them into the voting booths ... anything!

Well, on Sunday “they” will vote in the French presidential election.  All the polling has suggested that Marine Le Pen can progress into the second round of voting, which will take place on 7th May; but whover she meets will beat her by 20 points or more for reasons we have seen before.  Zerohedge ran a piece yesterday bringing the various second round scenarios together, based on the most recent polling:

● Macron-Le Pen (63%/37%, Ipsos poll April 14): The most plausible. The 2 candidates have led the polls for a few months. This scenario would come with no surprise on the financial markets, which have already integrated it.

● Melenchon-Le Pen (60%/40%): The most feared. Risk is not fully priced, so it would come as a bomb on markets. Choose between the devil and the deep blue sea.

● Macron-Fillon (64%/36%): The most welcome. This would give much appeasement with both Le Pen and Melenchon moved away.

● Melenchon-Fillon (60%/40%): The most surprising. Fillon was not even favorite in the right party primary elections (Juppe was), Melenchon got 11% in 1st Round in 2012 Presidential, but French people know how an outsider can surprise (2002 elections, Le Pen (father) passing in 2nd Round)...

● Fillon-Le Pen (56%/44%): The most at right. With huge abstention expected from left voters in this scenario, financial markets would not exclude a Le Pen win.

● Macron-Melenchon (55%/45%): The most erratic. It would be feared that Le Pen voters slide towards Melenchon.

So the lightweight elitist, the failed fraud, and the communist dynosaur all win against Le Pen!  There have been some press articles speculating that a low turnout and a terror attack might give Le Pen a better chance.  But a low turnout is most unlikely, given the huge public participation in the campaigning period.  Mélenchon drew a crowd of 70,000 people to one of his rallies.  Macron, too, has been pulling large crowds.  The turnout for Sunday looks set to be 80% or higher; which means that nationalists would be wise to anticipate an honourable defeat.  Of course I hope I am wrong.  I hope I am back here in May making the lowest of low bows.  But as of today I think it’s inevitable, given the present state of public discourse and the power of conventional thinking, that this election will continue the frustrations of the past.  One suspects that Le Pen’s late return to campaigning to her core supporters on her core issues of immigration, Islam and terrorism demonstrates that the attempt to speak on other issues, centred on her rejection of the EU and the euro, was misconceived and has made it more difficult, not less, to attract support from the centre ground.  The French remain loyal to the ideal of European union.

However, I believe it is safe to assume, after yesterday’s attack, that Le Pen will make the second round.  Anything over 40% in that will be good ... a sound platform for 2022 (assuming her niece does not succeed to the party leadership in the interim).  That was her roadmap to the presidency anyway - 2017 is part of her 2022 campaign.

But there is also the forthcoming French legislative election to consider.  That vote takes place on June 11th and 18th, and again the two-part process makes life very difficult for Front National candidates.  There are currently only two FN deputies in the 577-member National Assembly.  A failure to make a significant advance in both the presidential and legislative elections would seriously call into question the whole strategy of using electoral means to advance the interests of the ethnic French.  Nationalism must advance.  It is greater than electoral politics per se.  It is greater than FN.  Everywhere in Europe nationalists are still at first base electorally, regardless of the popular support they have garnered.  Unless it is over 50%, the lightweight elitist, the failed fraud, or the communist dynosaur will always win.

Setting aside the UK parliamentary election on June 8th, the next real opportunity for nationalists is the Austrian legislative election which has to be held before January 2018.  Then it’s on to Italy in May and Sweden in September, always in search of that majority vote for the life of our race.  One feels that if it comes around to France again, and another failure in 2022, a different way of doing things will be a subject of widespread debate.