One of Steve Sailer’s best kept secrets is how he comes up with his standard-setting political science models such as the marriage stability for white women is the primary driver of Republican victories, explaining an incredible 83% of the variance in the Red State/Blue State voting patterns.  When I plugged his data for white female marriage stability and electoral outcomes into the Laboratory of the States database, and ran it against the rest of the hundreds of variables, it still came out as the best predictor of Republican victories.  Due to data-dredging effects, even if some of my variables had beaten his, it wouldn’t have meant they were better—nor that his model was wrong.  I threw everything but the kitchen sink at his model to beat it looking for any variables to best it.  But they didn’t.  Just amazing.  How did he do it?  He didn’t say.  But now he has let loose a clue:  He has been getting fed insights by a guy calling himself Inductivist and a brief survey of his blog entries reveals the “Inductivist” may have what it takes to come up with models as powerful as Sailer has been promoting via his blog.  (If Sailer himself came up with the white female marriage stability model of conservative voting then my apologies but the Inductivist blog doesn’t need something quite that impressive to be a secret weapon for Sailer.)

When the French Revolution broke out in 1789 it was greeted with enthusiasm by the young intellectuals of Europe.

The English poet William Wordsworth was no exception. He wrote verses in support of the Revolution, including these significant lines,

Once Man entirely free, alone and wild,
Was bless’d as free, for he was Nature’s child.
He, all superior but his God disdained,
Walk’d none restraining, and by none restrained,
Confessed no law but what his reason taught,
Did all he wish’d, and wish’d but what he ought.

In these lines Wordsworth is claiming that man is naturally free in the liberal sense of having no impediments to his individual will and reason. The individual man is superior to everyone else but God; he needs no restraints and recognises no laws except those accepted by his own reason; he follows his own will in all things (but always chooses to do the right thing).

A few decades later another famous young English poet, Shelley, was still holding firm to the same political ideal. In his work Prometheus Unbound (1820), Shelley advanced his ideal of a “new man” who would “make the earth one brotherhood”. This new man would be,

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“Violent sex attack on prostitute” yelled the hotlink copy on BBC News’ front page.  Attuned to Mattra’s Tawana redux I clicked and up came the story.

A prostitute was picked up and driven to an area of Preston where she was raped and violently assaulted, police in Lancashire have said.

The attacker picked up the woman early last Sunday morning in a red light area and took her to Queen Street in Avenham where he attacked her.

OK, so now for the big question ... whodunnit?

The man is described as being aged about 30, about 6ft tall, of medium build with a tanned complexion.

Tanned complexion?  What does that mean, for pete’s sake.  Has he just come back from holiday?  Or ... ah, could it be a tortuous, new bit of Pee-Cee, and the doubtless brown-skinned police spokeman, Det Insp Justin Srivastava, just couldn’t bring himself to finger one of his own folks?  If so, that would be a pretty pathetic way of going on, even for Lancashire Police (first item on their website: The Diversity Strategy Launch).

But then I read this:-

Det Insp Justin Srivastava said: “This was a particularly nasty attack on a street worker and I would appeal to any member of the street working community who has any information to come forward as soon as possible.

“I would also like to reassure the public that these types of incidents are very rare.

“However, street workers in particular need to remain vigilant and take sensible precautions, if possible, by working in pairs.”

Now, we have been lumbered with the euphemistic “sex workers” for some time, although its use is restricted to politicians, broadcasters and the Inland Revenue, as well as some of the prostitutes themselves.  Most of the latter, though, are probably better acquainted with being called a “working girl” or, more specifically, a “slag”, “tart”, “whore” or, indeed, “bag bride”.

But street worker?  Which moronic Home Office word-Marxist circulated the offending Guidance to all police forces this time?

No matter, Lancashire Police and their vibrant new spokesman, Detective Inspector Shrivel ... Starve ... their vibrant new spokesman, anyway, are proving to be bang on the cutting edge of modern policing for confident, safer, and secure neighbourhoods, where people know that the police and partners understand the issues that matter most to them.  Blah, blah.

Joke: What do you get with street workers working in pairs?  Your bins emptied.

This is the full transcript:-

09:35:33 — No, no, no. Unintelligible.
09:35:35 — Down in the airport.
09:35:39 — Down, down.
09:35:40 — I don’t want to die.
09:35:41 — No, no. Down, down.
09:35:42 — I don’t want to die. I don’t want to die.
09:35:44 — No, no. Down, down, down, down, down, down.
09:35:47 — No, no, please.
09:35:57 — No.
09:37:06 — (That’s it. Go back.)
09:37:06 — (That’s it.) Sit down.
09:37:36 —(Everthing is fine. I finished.)
09:38:36 — (Yes.)
09:39:11 — Ah. Here’s the captain. I would like to tell you all to remain seated. We have a bomb aboard, and we are going back to the airport, and we have our demands. So, please remain quiet.
... 09:45:19 — (How about we let them in? We let the guys in now.)
09:45:23 — (OK.)
09:45:24 — (Should we let the guys in?)
09:45:25 — (Inform them, and tell him to talk to the pilot. Bring the pilot back.)
09:45:57 — (In the name of Allah. In the name of Allah. I bear witness that there is no other God, but Allah.)
09:47:31 — Unintelligible.
09:47:40 — (Allah knows.)
09:48:15 — Unintelligible.
09:48:38 — Set course.
... 09:53:20 — (The best thing: The guys will go in, lift up the) ... Unintelligible ... (and they put the axe into it. So, everyone will be scared.)
09:53:27 — (Yes.)
09:53:28 — (The axe.)
...
09:58:44 — (Oh Allah. Oh Allah. Oh the most gracious.)
09:58:47 — Ugh. Ugh.09:58:52 — Stay back.
09:58:55 — In the cockpit.
09:58:57 — In the cockpit.
09:58:57 — (They want to get in here. Hold, hold from the inside. Hold from the inside. Hold).
09:59:04 — Hold the door.
09:59:09 — Stop him.
09:59:11 — Sit down.
09:59:13 — Sit down.
09:59:15 — Sit down.
09:59:16 — Unintelligible.
09:59:17 — (What?)
09:59:18 — (There are some guys. All those guys.)
09:59:20 — Lets get them.
... 10:00:07 — (Is that it? Shall we finish it off?)
10:00:08 — (No. Not yet.)
10:00:09 — (When they all come, we finish it off.)
10:00:11 — (There is nothing.)
10:00:13 — Unintelligible.
10:00:14 — Ahh.
10:00:15 — I’m injured.
10:00:16 — Unintelligible.
10:00:21 — Ahh.
10:00:22 — (Oh Allah. Oh Allah. Oh gracious.)
10:00:25 — In the cockpit. If we don’t, we’ll die.
10:00:29 — (Up, down. Up, down, in the) cockpit.
10:00:33 — (The) cockpit.
10:00:37 — (Up, down. Saeed, up, down.)
10:00:42 — Roll it.
10:00:55 — Unintelligible.
10:00:59 — (Allah is the greatest. Allah is the greatest.)
10:01:01 — Unintelligible.
10:01:08 — (Is that it? I mean, shall we pull it down?)
10:01:09 — (Yes, put it in it, and pull it down.)
10:01:10 — Unintelligible.
10:01:11 — (Saeed.)
10:01:12 — ... engine ...
10:01:13 — Unintelligible.
10:01:16 — (Cut off the oxygen.)
10:01:18 — (Cut off the oxygen. Cut off the oxygen. Cut off the oxygen.)
10:01:34 — Unintelligible.
10:01:37 — Unintelligible.
10:01:41 — (Up, down. Up, down.)
10:01:41 — (What?)
10:01:42 — (Up, down.)
10:01:42 — Ahh.
10:01:53 — Ahh.
10:01:54 — Unintelligible.
10:01:55 — Ahh.
10:01:59 — Shut them off.
10:02:03 — Shut them off.
10:02:14 — Go.
10:02:14 — Go.
10:02:15 — Move.
10:02:16 — Move.
10:02:17 — Turn it up.
10:02:18 — (Down, down.)
10:02:23 — (Pull it down. Pull it down.)
10:02:25 — Down. Push, push, push, push, push.
10:02:33 — (Hey. Hey. Give it to me. Give it to me.)
10:02:35 — (Give it to me. Give it to me. Give it to me.)
10:02:37 — (Give it to me. Give it to me. Give it to me.)
10:02:40 — Unintelligible.
10:03:02 — (Allah is the greatest.)
10:03:03 — (Allah is the greatest.)
10:03:04 — (Allah is the greatest.)
10:03:06 — (Allah is the greatest.)
10:03:06 — (Allah is the greatest.)
10:03:07 — No.
10:03:09 — (Allah is the greatest. Allah is the greatest.)
10:03:09 — (Allah is the greatest. Allah is the greatest.)

Well, the passengers will be remembered as heroes one and all.  And their heroism was instructive.  Seeing that there was no self-preservation to be had from sitting quietly as the hijackers demanded, they chose the only course open to them.  They were, therefore, clear-sighted before they were brave.

Quite obviously, the Administration’s decision to remove Saddam and democratise Iraq does not belong to the same class of human action.  But the presence of the Minutemen on the border certainly does.  Here, too, there is no advantage for patriotic Euro-Americans to be had from sitting quietly at home, as the Administration demands.  The clear-sighted understand that the Mexicanisation of the south-west is fatal to the life they know and love.  Out of clear-sightedness flows the courage to act.

The heroes of Flight 93 will at least have a memorial by which future Americans may, if they choose, remember them.  But who will those future Americans be?  And how many of them will care to remember the courage of the men who travelled south to defend the way of life they had always known.

Teenagers in east London are forming their own brand of English and pushing out traditional Cockney slang, according to language experts.

A study by Sue Fox, from London’s Queen Mary’s College, found words such as “nang” - meaning good - were commonly used by youths in inner London.

Ms Fox said this “Multicultural London English” was influenced by a variety of languages such as Jamaican and Indian.

Youths in outer London had a stronger association with the Cockney accent.

Researchers attributed this to the population movement out of London.

A BBC News article on-line

yesterday

.

Sue Fox, a researcher on sociolinguistic variation and change, is a lucky girl.  The BBC loves her and her work.  It must, because it remembered her - and it – all of eight months after the BBC Press Office circulated this:-

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Well, he’s back ... his foot healed and, apparently, not having shot himself anywhere else.  And he’s mad.  At the Drug Enforcement Administration, which employs him and which he blames for releasing that video and making him a laughing stock.  How does the song go?  Woke up one morning, got myself a lawyer.

Read and enjoy.

Hat tip to Geoff for digging up the link.

I have enjoyed John Ray’s recent posts about his cultural outings in Brissie with his lady friend.

What interested me most, though, was something he wrote in the comments section of one of these posts. In response to GW he said of the religious impulse that,

Yes.  It is an instinctive thing.  Either you have it or not.  I of course feel much richer for having it.  I am slightly surprised that you do not as there is a modest positive correlation between ethnic sentiment and religious sentiment.  I think my ethnic sentiments are similar to yours but I no more let that dictate my conclusions than I allow my religious instincts to make me a believer.  So I do FEEL similarly about the two areas.  Not to be impulse-driven is of course a marker of both civilization and modernity.  But I at least still enjoy feeling as I do.

So John feels personally enriched by a positive sense of ethnic identity and by a sympathy for his own religious tradition. However, intellectually he cannot accept the validity of either.

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I don’t suppose fires will be set yet again in the hallways of Academia, or Leeds University anyway, over the speech crime of Classics professor, Malcolm Heath.  But you never know.

Poor Prof Heath appears to have miscalculated somewhat in seeking to explain away Aristotle’s wonderfully offensive thoughts on slaves.  It isn’t an easy job.  This, in part, is what the old boy said (in Poetics, Book 1, chapters 3 and 7):-

But is there any one thus intended by nature to be a slave, and for whom such a condition is expedient and right, or rather is not all slavery a violation of nature?

There is no difficulty in answering this question, on grounds both of reason and of fact. For that some should rule and others be ruled is a thing not only necessary, but expedient; from the hour of their birth, some are marked out for subjection, others for rule.

... But among barbarians [that’s us - Ed] no distinction is made between women and slaves, because there is no natural ruler among them: they are a community of slaves, male and female. Wherefore the poets say, “It is meet that Hellenes should rule over barbarians” as if they thought that the barbarian and the slave were by nature one.

Now, some may give Aristotle the benefit of the doubt on racial supremacism and accuse him merely of being the worst kind of snob, if not a tad sexist.  But Prof Heath appears to have grasped the Nazi nettle eagerly and with both hands:-

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